Clearside Biomedical (Clearside Biomedical) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2016. Start your Free Trial

What is Clearside Biomedical Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Clearside Biomedical Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Clearside Biomedical Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Clearside Biomedical's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Clearside Biomedical (Clearside Biomedical) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Clearside Biomedical Inc (NAS:CLSD) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

CLM:Germany CLM:Germany

Address

900 North Point Parkway, Suite 200, Alpharetta, GA, USA, 30005

Website

https://www.clearsidebio.com

Clearside Biomedical Inc is a United States-based clinical biopharmaceutical company. It is engaged in developing pharmacological therapies to treat blinding disease of the eye through the suprachoroidal space, or SCS. The company's novel SCS injection platform, utilizing proprietary SCS Microinjector, enables an in-office, repeatable, non-surgical procedure for the targeted and compartmentalized delivery of a wide variety of therapies to the macula, retina or choroid to potentially preserve and improve vision in patients with sight-threatening eye diseases.

Executives

Charles A. Deignan	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O CLEARSIDE BIOMEDICAL, INC., 1220 OLD ALPHARETTA ROAD, SUITE 300, ALPHARETTA GA 30005
George M Lasezkay	director	1301 SECOND AVE., SUITE 4200, SEATTLE WA 98101
Bradford T Whitmore	10 percent owner	5215 OLD ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 620, SKOKIE IL 60077
Nancy J Hutson	director	64 MONTAUK AVENUE, STONINGTON CT 06378
Clay Thorp	director, 10 percent owner	C/O HATTERAS VENTURE PARTNERS III, LP, 280 S. MANGUM ST., SUITE 350, DURHAM NC 27701
Thomas Ciulla	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O CLEARSIDE BIOMEDICAL, INC., 900 NORTH POINT PARKWAY, SUITE 200, ALPHARETTA GA 30005
Benjamin R Yerxa	director	INSPIRE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.,, 4222 EMPEROR BLVD., STE. 470, DURHAM NC 27703-8466
William D. Humphries	director	C/O STRATA SKIN SCIENCES, INC., 5 WALNUT GROVE DRIVE SUITE 140, HORSHAM PA 19044
Jeffrey L Edwards	director	2525 DUPONT DR, IRVINE CA 92612
Daniel H. White	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O CLEARSIDE BIOMEDICAL, INC., 1220 OLD ALPHARETTA ROAD, SUITE 300, ALPHARETTA GA 30005
Gerald D. Cagle	director	135 U.S. HIGHWAY 206, SUITE 15, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Brion S. Raymond	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O CLEARSIDE BIOMEDICAL, INC., 1220 OLD ALPHARETTA ROAD, SUITE 300, ALPHARETTA GA 30005
Christy L Shaffer	director	INSPIRE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.,, 4222 EMPEROR BLVD., STE. 470, DURHAM NC 27703-8466
Hatteras Venture Advisors Iv Sbic, Llc	10 percent owner	280 S. MANGUM STREET, SUITE 350, DURHAM NC 27701
Hatteras Venture Advisors Iii, Llc	10 percent owner	280 S. MANGUM STREET, SUITE 350, DURHAM NC 27701