Customers Bancorp (Customers Bancorp) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2011. Start your Free Trial

What is Customers Bancorp Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Customers Bancorp Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Customers Bancorp Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Customers Bancorp's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Customers Bancorp (Customers Bancorp) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Customers Bancorp Inc (NYSE:CUBI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

CUBIpF.PFD:USA CUBIpE.PFD:USA

Address

701 Reading Avenue, West Reading, PA, USA, 19611

Website

https://www.customersbank.com

Customers Bancorp Inc is a bank holding company engaged in banking activities. It provides financial products and services to small and middle-market businesses, not-for-profits, and consumers. The company operates in Lending Activities, Commercial Lending, Consumer Lending, Private Banking, Deposit Products, Other Funding Sources, and Financial Products and Services. The majority of revenue is derived from commercial lending.

Executives

Robert Neil Mackay	director	701 READING AVENUE, WEST READING PA 19611
Glenn Hedde	officer: Pres Mortgage WarehouseLending	1015 PENN AVENUE, SUITE 103, WYOMISSING PA 19610
Jay S Sidhu	director, officer: Chairman & CEO	4655 SALISBURY ROAD, SUITE 110, JACKSONVILLE FL 32256
Velasquez Jessie John Deano	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	1015 PENN AVENUE, WYOMISSING PA 19610
Philip Watkins	officer: CFO Customers Bank	1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS 11TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10105
Carla A Leibold	officer: Principal Accounting Officer	C/O 1999 K STREET, N.W., 4TH FLOOR, WASHINGTON DC 20006
Andrew Hertz Bowman	officer: EVP and Chief Credit Officer	701 READING AVENUE, WEST READING PA 19611
Samvir S. Sidhu	officer: Head of Corporate Development	1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS 11TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10105
Rajeev V Date	director	3465 EAST FOOTHILL BOULEVARD, PASADENA CA 91107
Lyle Cunningham	officer: Director/Chief Lending Officer	701 READING AVENUE, WEST READING PA 19611
Bernard Bennett Banks	director	701 READING AVENUE, WEST READING PA 19611
Steven Issa	officer: Exec VP/Chief Lending Officer	16 LILAC STREET, CUMBERLAND RI 02864
T Lawrence Way	director	1015 PENN AVENUE, SUITE 103, WYOMISSING PA 19610
Richard A Ehst	officer: President & COO	1015 PENN AVENUE, SUITE 103, WYOMISSING PA 19610
James T. Collins	officer: Chief Administrative Officer	4520 LONGFELLOW COURT, DOYLESTOWN PA 18902