Cuentas (Cuentas) Predictability Rank

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What is Cuentas Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Cuentas Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Cuentas (Cuentas) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Cuentas Inc (OTCPK:CUEN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

235 Lincoln Road, Suite 210, Miami Beach, FL, USA, 33139

Website

https://www.cuentas.com

Cuentas Inc is a FinTech e-banking and e-commerce service provider with proprietary technology aimed at providing solutions for the underbanked and un-banked Hispanic and Latino population. The company operates in two segments: Telecommunications and General Purpose Reloadable Cards. Its services include mobile banking, online banking, prepaid debit, ACH and mobile deposits, cash remittance, peer-to-peer money transferring, and providing access to bank accounts for customers who previously could not obtain bank accounts. The proprietary Cuentas General Purpose Reloadable (GPR) Card provides holders with a digital wallet, discounts for purchases at major physical and online retailers, rewards, and the ability to purchase digital content.

Executives

Arik Maimon	officer: CEO	1111 BRICKELL AVENUE, SUITE 2200, MIAMI FL 33131
Jeffery D. Johnson	officer: Chief Executive Officer	235 LINCOLN RD., SUITE 210, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Cima Telecom, Inc.	10 percent owner	1728 CORAL WAY, 6TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33145
Yochanon Bruk	director	1898 NW 74TH AVE, PEMBROKE PINES FL 33024
Richard J Berman	director	305 COLLEGE ROAD EAST, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Adiv Baruch	director	9 SHAUL AVIGUR ST., TEL AVIV L3 69379
Ran Daniel	officer: Chief Financial Officer	101 WEST 90TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10024
Heritage Ventures Ltd	10 percent owner	SUITE 31 THE MALL, BEACON COURT, SANDYFORD, DUBLIN 18 L2 D18 R8Y7
Harrison Vargas	10 percent owner	10007 VESTAL PLACE, CORAL SPRINGS FL 33071
De Prado Michael A.	officer: President & COO	1111 BRICKELL AVENUE, SUITE 2200, MIAMI FL 33131
Robert Rico	other: Resigned officer and director	4775 COLLINS AVE # 4205, MIAMI BEACH NJ 33140
Calvin Lewis	other: Resigned officer and director	4779 COLLINS AVE, 1907, MIAMI BEACH FL 33140
Lisa Bischof	director, officer: Treasurer	6980 SOUTH EDGERTON ROAD, BRECKSVILLE OH 44141
D Bruce Veness	director, officer: Corporate Secretary	6980 SOUTH EDGERTON ROAD, BREAKSVILLE OH 44141
John L Bianco	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO/President	6980 SOUTH EDGERTON ROAD, BRECKSVILLE OH 44141