Hypha Labs (Hypha Labs) Predictability Rank

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What is Hypha Labs Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Hypha Labs Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Hypha Labs (Hypha Labs) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Diagnostics & Research » Hypha Labs Inc (OTCPK:DIGP) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

6450 Cameron Street, Suite 113, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89118

Website

https://www.digipath.com

DigiPath Inc is engaged in providing pharmaceutical-grade analysis and testing cannabis education and training and brings unbiased cannabis news coverage to the cannabis industry. It screens medicinal cannabis for potentially harmful contaminants, including solvents, pesticides, mold and yeast, heavy metals such as mercury, arsenic, cadmium, and others. It also tests cannabis for its quality, potency, and cannabinoid and terpene profiles, which determine the suitability of specific cannabis strains for the treatment of specific ailments.

Executives

A Stone Douglass	director	10200 WILLOW CREEK ROAD, SAN DIEGO CA 92131
Edmond Defrank	director	19360 RINALDI STREET, #448, NORTHRIDGE CA 91326
Kyle Remenda	officer: Chief Executive Officer	111-2532 SHORELINE DRIVE, LAKE COUNTRY A1 V4V2R6
Dennis Hartmann	director	1600 CAMDEN AVENUE, NO. 103, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Bruce I Raben	director	430 VICTORIA TERRACE, RIDGEFIELD NJ 7657
Cindy Sue Orser	director	4507 APPLE WAY, BOULDER CO 80301
Alfredo Axtmayer	director	287 PAYNE DRIVE, CHESHIRE CT 06410
Joseph J Bianco	director	611 BROADWAY,, SUITE 307, NEW YORK NY 10012
Todd A Peterson	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3608 MALLARDWOOD DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89129
Joe D Tanner	director	28720 ROADSIDE DRIVE, SUITE 128, AGOURA HILLS CA 91301
Raw Alternative, Llc	10 percent owner	16030 VENTURA BLVD. SUITE 380, ENCINO CA 91436
Todd Denkin	director, officer: President	C/O PHOTOTRON, INC., 20259 VENTURA BLVD., WOODLAND HILLS CA 91364
Barbee Denny Barbee	10 percent owner	3105 EAST CENTRAL, #114, WICHITA KS 67214
Eric Stoppenhagen	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CFO	8908 SPLITARROW DRIVE, AUSTIN TX 78717