Digital Media Solutions (Digital Media Solutions) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is Digital Media Solutions Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Digital Media Solutions Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Digital Media Solutions Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Digital Media Solutions's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Digital Media Solutions (Digital Media Solutions) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Digital Media Solutions Inc (OTCPK:DMSL) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

4800 140th Avenue North, Suite 101, Clearwater, FL, USA, 33762

Website

https://www.digitalmediasolutions.com

Digital Media Solutions Inc is a provider of technology enabled digital performance advertising solutions connecting consumers and advertisers. The activities are divided into three segments namely Brand Direct, Marketplace and Technology Solutions.

Executives

Elizabeth A. Lapuma	director	520 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 315, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Neil Nguyen	director	750 W. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, 7TH FLOOR, IRVING TX 75039
Scott N Flanders	director	PLAYBOY ENT., INC. - H. SHAPIRO, 680 N LAKE SHORE DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60611
Vanessa Guzman-clark	officer: Interim CFO	1831 SOUTHWEST 6TH AVENUE, CAPE CORAL FL 33991
Jessica Jones	officer: EVP, Human Resources	4800 140TH AVENUE N., SUITE 101, CLEARWATER FL 33762
Maurissa Bell	director	C/O CLAIRVEST GROUP INC., 22 ST. CLAIR AVENUE EAST, SUITE 1700, TORONTO A6 M4T 2S3
Vasundara Srenivas	officer: Chief Financial Officer	4800 140TH AVENUE N., SUITE 101, CLEARWATER FL 33762
Richard Rodick	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O UTI, SERVICES, INC., 100 OCEANGATE, SUITE 1500, LONG BEACH CA 90802
Anthony Saldana	officer: General Counsel, EVP Legal	4800 140TH AVENUE N., SUITE 101, CLEARWATER FL 33762
Prism Data, Llc	10 percent owner	4800 140TH AVENUE N., SUITE 101, CLEARWATER FL 33762
Capital Llp Lion	10 percent owner	21 GROSVENOR PLACE, LONDON X0 SW1X 7HF
Lion Capital Iv Gp Ltd	10 percent owner	21 GROSVENOR PLACE, LONDON X0 SW1X7HF
Lion Capital (guernsey) Bridgeco Ltd	10 percent owner	TRAFALGAR COURT, LES BANQUES, ST PETER PORT Y7 000000
Lyndon Lea	director, officer: See Remarks	21 GROSVENOR PLACE, LONDON X0 SW1X 7HF
Fernando Borghese	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	4800 140TH AVENUE N., SUITE 101, CLEARWATER FL 33762