Enfusion (Enfusion) Predictability Rank

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What is Enfusion Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Enfusion Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Enfusion (Enfusion) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Enfusion Inc (NYSE:ENFN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

125 South Clark Street, Suite 750, Chicago, IL, USA, 60603

Website

https://www.enfusion.com

Enfusion Inc is a software-as-a-service (SaaS) provider focused on transforming the investment management industry. Its solutions are designed to eliminate technology and information barriers, empowering investment managers to make and execute better-informed investment decisions in real-time. It simplifies investment and operational workflows by unifying mission-critical systems and coalescing data into a single dataset resulting in a single source of truth.

Executives

Deirdre Somers	director	C/O ENFUSION, INC., 125 SOUTH CLARK STREET, SUITE 750, CHICAGO IL 60603
Bradley Herring	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O SHIFT4 PAYMENTS, INC., 2202 N. IRVING STREET, ALLENTOWN PA 16109
Oleg Movchan	director, 10 percent owner	C/O ENFUSION INC., 125 SOUTH CLARK ST. STE 750, CHICAGO IL 60603
Bronwen Bastone	officer: Chief People Officer	C/O ENFUSION, INC., 125 SOUTH CLARK STREET SUITE 750, CHICAGO IL 60603
Stephen Malherbe	10 percent owner	C/O ENFUSION, INC., 125 SOUTH CLARK STREET, SUITE 750, CHICAGO IL 60603
Dan Groman	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O ENFUSION INC., 125 SOUTH CLARK STREET STE. 750, CHICAGO IL 60603
Tarek Hammoud	10 percent owner	C/O ENFUSION INC., 125 SOUTH CLARK ST. STE. 750, CHICAGO IL 60603
Ftv Investment Holdings, L.p.	10 percent owner	601 CALIFORNIA STREET, FLOOR 19, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Michael Spellacy	director	399 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Quiet Light Securities, Llc	10 percent owner	70 WEST MADISON, SUITE 1675, CHICAGO IL 60602
Steven M. Bachert	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	C/O ENFUSION INC., 125 SOUTH CLARK ST., STE 750, CHIGAGO IL 60603
Lra Ventures, Llc	10 percent owner	C/O ENFUSION, INC., 125 SOUTH CLARK STREET, SUITE 750, CHICAGO IL 60603
Hillhouse Investment Management, Ltd.	10 percent owner	OFFICE #122, WINDWARD 3 BUILDING, REGATTA OFFICE PARK, WEST BAY ROAD, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9006
Roy Luo	director	394 PACIFIC AVENUE, 2ND FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Iconiq Strategic Partners V-b, L.p.	10 percent owner	394 PACIFIC AVENUE, SECOND FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111