Greenpro Capital (Greenpro Capital) Predictability Rank

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What is Greenpro Capital Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Greenpro Capital Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Greenpro Capital (Greenpro Capital) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Greenpro Capital Corp (NAS:GRNQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

B-7-5, Northpoint Office, No. 1 Medan Syed Putra Utara, Mid Valley City, Kuala Lumpur, MYS, 59200

Website

https://www.greenprocapital.com

Greenpro Capital Corp operates and provides business solution services to small and medium-size businesses located in South-East Asia and East Asia, with focus on Hong Kong, China and Malaysia, and in Thailand and Taiwan. Its range of services includes cross border business solutions, record management services, and accounting outsourcing services. Cross-border business services include,other services, tax planning, trust and wealth management, cross border listing advisory services and transaction services. It also operates a venture capital business. Its segments include Service business engaged in provision of corporate advisory and business solution service; and Real estate business engaged in trading or leasing of commercial real estate properties in Hong Kong and Malaysia.

Executives

Loke Gilbert	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Financial Officer	SUITE 2201, 22/F MALAYSIA BUILDING,, 50 GLOUCESTER ROAD, WANCHAI K3 00000
Lee C.k.	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	SUITE 2201, 22/F MALAYSIA BUILDING,, 50 GLOUCESTER ROAD, WANCHAI K3 00000
Chuchottaworn Srirat	director	SUITE 2201, 22/F, MALAYSIA BUILDING, 50 GLOUCESTER ROAD WAN CHAI K3 00000
Bringuier Christophe Philippe Roland	director	FLAT 9, BLOCK D, CHING LAI COURT, 264 LAI KING HILL RD, LAI CHI KOK, KOWLOON K3 00000
Brent Lewis Glendening	director	ROOM 1701-1703, 17/FTHE METROPILIS TOWER, 10 METROPOLIS TOWER, HUNG HOM K3 00000
Ramesh Ruben Louis	director	RM 1701-03,17F,THE METROPOLIS TOWER, 10 METROPOLIS DRIVE, HUNG HOM K3 00000
Kok Choong How	director	SUITE 2201, 22/F MALAYSIA BUILDING,, 50, GLOUCESTER ROAD, WANCHAI K3 00000
Chee Keong Hee	director	SUITE 2201, 22/F, MALAYSIA BUILDING 50, GLOUCESTER ROAD,, WANCHAI K3 000000
Kiew Kwong Chin	director	SUITE 2201, 22/F MALAYSIA BUILDING, 50 GLOUCESTER ROAD, WANCHAI K3 00000
Albert Shum	director	SUITE 2201, 22/F MALAYSIA BUILDING, 50 GLOUCESTER ROAD, WANCHAI K3 000000
Thanawat Lertwattanark	director	SUITE 2201, 22/F, MALAYSIA BUILDING, 50 GLOUCESTER ROAD WAN CHAI K3 00000