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Landsea Green Life Service Co (HKSE:01965) Predictability Rank


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What is Landsea Green Life Service Co Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Landsea Green Life Service Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Landsea Green Life Service Co Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Landsea Green Life Service Co's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Landsea Green Life Service Co (HKSE:01965) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » Real Estate » Landsea Green Life Service Co Ltd (HKSE:01965) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
HKSE:01427 HKSE:00261 HKSE:00899 HKSE:01195 HKSE:02349 HKSE:01240 HKSE:01282 HKSE:00472 HKSE:01168 HKSE:00355 ASX:GMG TSE:8801 TSE:8802 PHS:SMPH HKSE:00012 ASX:LLC BKK:CPN TSE:1878 SHSE:600515 SHSE:600415
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
98 Jianye Road, 10th-11th Floor, Qinhuai District, Jiangsu Province, Nanjing, CHN, 210004
Website
https://www.landseawy.com
Landsea Green Life Service Co Ltd is a China-based investment holding company that provides property management services. The Company mainly operates through three sectors: property management services, non-owner value-added services, and community value-added services. Property management services include security, cleaning, gardening and landscaping, parking lot management, and daily maintenance and maintenance services. Value-added services for non-owners mainly include case services, pre-consultancy services, other pre-services, and the provision of property agency services. Community value-added services include home life services, public resource management services, and second-hand housing property agency services. Its properties include residential and non-residential properties.
Executives
Tian Ming 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Honor Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Tian Family Investment Pte. Ltd. 2101 Beneficial owner
Tian Family Holding Pte. Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lin Bofeng 2101 Beneficial owner
Nan Jing Xin Gong Tou Zi Ji Tuan You Xian Ze Ren Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nan Jing Fang Zhi Pin Jin Chu Kou Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
State-owned Assets Supervision And Administration Commission Of Nanjing Municipal Government 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nanjing Urban Construction Investment Holdings (group) Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nanjing Tourism Group Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nanjing State-owned Assets Investment Management Holdings (group) Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lucky Front Investments Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Chen Huaijun 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Murong Xinyao 2202 Interest of your spouse
Lin Jinfeng 2101 Beneficial owner

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