HyreCar (HyreCar) Predictability Rank

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What is HyreCar Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

HyreCar Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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HyreCar (HyreCar) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » HyreCar Inc (OTCPK:HYREQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

915 Wilshire Boulevard, Suite 1950, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90017

Website

https://www.hyrecar.com

HyreCar Inc is a peer-to-peer car-sharing marketplace that allows car owners to rent their idle cars to ride-sharing service drivers. The company generates its revenue in the form of transaction fees, insurance fee, and from other sources such as referrals, motor vehicle record fees, late rental fees, and other fees charged to drivers in specific situations. It operates in a single segment, which is Rental.

Executives

Vazquez Eduardo Iniguez	officer: Interim CFO	C/O HYRECAR INC. 915 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 1950, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Brian Allan	officer: President	355 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Bock Serge De	officer: Chief Financial Officer	355 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Arctis Global Llc	10 percent owner	AM TOWERS, 207 CALLE DEL PARQUE, 7TH FLOOR, SAN JUAN PR 00912-3242
Greg Tatem	officer: Chief Technology Officer	915 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 1950, LOS ANGELES CA 90017
Jayaprakash Vijayan	director	25501 WEST VALLEY PARKWAY, SUITE 300, OLATHE KS 66061
Joseph Furnari	director, officer: CEO and CFO	C/O HYRECAR INC., 355 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Michael Furnari	officer: CBD Officer	C/O HYRECAR INC., 355 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Grace Wang	director	355 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Robert Scott Brogi	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O HYRECAR INC., 355 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Henry Park	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O HYRECAR INC., 355 SOUTH GRAND STREET, SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Michael Root	director	C/O HYRECAR INC., 355 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Ken Grimes	officer: Chief Technology Officer	355 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Anshu Bansal	director, 10 percent owner	C/O HYRECAR INC., 355 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Brooke Skinner-ricketts	director	C/O HYRECAR, INC., 355 SOUTH GRAND AVE, SUITE 1650, LOS ANGELES CA 90071