Interpace Biosciences (Interpace Biosciences) Predictability Rank

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What is Interpace Biosciences Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Interpace Biosciences Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Interpace Biosciences (Interpace Biosciences) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Diagnostics & Research » Interpace Biosciences Inc (OTCPK:IDXG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

PF42:Germany

Address

300 Interpace Parkway, Morris Corporate Center 1, Building C, Parsippany, NJ, USA, 07054

Website

https://www.interpace.com

Interpace Biosciences Inc is engaged in the life sciences industry. It provides molecular diagnostics, bioinformatics, and pathology services for the evaluation of the risk of cancer by leveraging the latest technology in personalized medicine for improved patient diagnosis and management. The company develops and commercializes genomic tests and related first-line assays principally focused on the early detection of patients with indeterminate biopsies and at high risk of cancer using the latest technology. It operates under one segment which is the business of developing and selling diagnostic clinical services.

Executives

Christopher Mccarthy	officer: Principal Financial Officer	C/O INTERPACE BIOSCIENCES, INC., 300 INTERPACE PARKWAY; BLDG C, 1ST FLOOR, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Vijay Aggarwal	director	2320 SCIENTIFIC PARK DRIVE, WILMINGTON NC 28405
Thomas W. Burnell	director, officer: President and CEO	1355 PEACHTREE STREET, SUITE 1150, ATLANTA GA 30309
Peter H Kamin	10 percent owner	2720 DONALD ROSS ROAD, #311, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33410
Fred S. Knechtel	officer: Chief Financial Officer	REMY INTERNATIONAL, INC., 600 CORPORATION DR., PENDLETON IN 46064
Fortunato R. Rocca	director	C/O EXAGEN INC., 1261 LIBERTY WAY, SUITE, VISTA CA 92081
Edward Chan	director	C/O 1315 CAPITAL II, L.P., 2929 WALNUT STREET, SUITE 1240, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
1315 Capital Ii, L.p.	10 percent owner	2929 WALNUT STREET, SUITE 1240, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Robert J. Gorman	director	C/O INTERPACE DIAGNOSTICS GROUP, INC., 300 INTERPACE PARKWAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Laurence Mccarthy	director	2110 RUTHERFORD ROAD, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Ampersand 2018 Limited Partnership	10 percent owner	55 WILLIAM STREET, SUITE 240, WELLESLEY MA 02481
Eric B. Lev	director, 10 percent owner	C/O INTERPACE DIAGNOSTICS GROUP, INC., 300 INTERPACE PARKWAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Thomas John Freeburg	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	INTERPACE DIAGNOSTICS GROUP, INC., 300 INTERPACE PKWY, BLDG. C, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Gregory Richard	officer: Chief Commerical Officer	C/O INTERPACE DIAGNOSTICS GROUP, INC., 300 INTERPACE PARKWAY, BUILDING A, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Felice Schnoll-sussman	director	C/O INTERPACE DIAGNOSTICS GROUP, INC., 300 INTERPACE PARKWAY, BUILDING A, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054