Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund (Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund) Predictability Rank

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What is Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund (Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund (NYSE:IHD) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

7337 East Doubletree Ranch Road, Suite 100, Scottsdale, AZ, USA, 85258

Website

https://www.voyainvestments.com

Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund is a diversified closed-end management investment company. Its primary investment objective is to provide total return through a combination of current income, capital gains, and capital appreciation. It seeks to achieve its investment objectives by investing principally in a portfolio of equity securities, and issuers in emerging market countries. The Fund will also normally seek to secure gains and enhance the stability of returns over a market cycle by writing (selling) call options on selected exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and/or international, regional, or country indices of equity securities, and/or on equity securities.

Executives

Vincent J Costa	other: Managing Director	800 SCUDDERS MILL ROAD, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
Paul Zemsky	other: SMD, CIO	230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Margaret Diorio	officer: SVP, PM	230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Steven Wetter	officer: SVP, PM	230 PARK AVENUE, 14 FL, NEW YORK NY 10169
Mark Weber	officer: Executive Vice President	230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Dina Santoro	officer: Managing Director	VOYA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, 230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Christopher P Sullivan	director	27 LEE TERRACE, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078
Michael Allyn Bell	officer: MD & Chief Financial Officer	230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Joseph E Obermeyer	director	9909 NE 4TH AVENUE ROAD, MIAMI SHORES FL 33138
Russell H Jones	director
Martin J Gavin	director	282 WASHINGTON STREET, HARTFORD CT 06106
Deprince Albert E Jr	director	3029 ST. JOHNS DRIVE, MURFREESBORO TN 37129
Gilbert Van Hassel	officer: to subadvisor	PRINSES BEATRIXLAAN 15, DEN HAAG P7 2595AK
Van Den Heuvel Adrianus Albertus Marinus	officer: to subadvisor	SCHENKKADE 65, THE HAGUE P7 2595 AS
Dirk Albert Buggenhout	officer: to subadvisor	SCHENKKADE 65, THE HAGUE P7 2595 AS

Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund (Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Assessing the Future Dividend Potential of Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund (IHD)

By GuruFocus Research • 10-02-2023