GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Indoor Harvest Corp (OTCPK:INQD) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Indoor Harvest (Indoor Harvest) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2015. Start your Free Trial

What is Indoor Harvest Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Indoor Harvest Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Indoor Harvest Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Indoor Harvest's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Indoor Harvest (Indoor Harvest) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Indoor Harvest Corp (OTCPK:INQD) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
UPC EVOK AVRW OWPC PRFX AGRX JUVAF CLVR STEK KOAN ZTS XTER:MRK TSE:4502 LSE:HLN NSE:SUNPHARMA TSE:4523 TSE:4507 SZSE:000538 XSWX:SDZ HKSE:03692
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
7401 W. Slaughter Lane, Suite 5078, Austin, TX, USA, 78739
Website
https://www.indoorharvest.com
Indoor Harvest Corp develops, process, and provide cannabis medicines. The company provides cannabis industry production platforms for building integrated agriculture (BIA) production. It focuses on Genetics, Tissue Culture, Controlled Environment Ag technologies, including high-pressure Aeroponic Cultivation, Micropropagation, and Cultivation operations. It focuses on an integrated consolidation platform offering for cannabis industry companies focused on hemp, other hemp-related products, CBD, CPG, and ancillary business verticals.
Executives
Daniel Patrick Weadock director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O INDOOR HARVEST CORP, 5300 EAST FREEWAY, SUITE A, HOUSTON TX 77020
Benjamin Godoy Coleman 10 percent owner 8518 PEGASUS DR, SELMA TX 78154
Lang Coleman director 8518 PEGASUS DR, SELMA TX 78154
Sandra Fowler officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O INDOOR HARVEST CORP., 5300 EAST FREEWAY, SUITE A, HOUSTON TX 77020
Sykes Chad Colin director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO 14830 FOREST LODGE DR., HOUSTON TX 77070
Pawel Hardej director 6304 INDIAN CANYON DR., AUSTIN TX 78746
William Jamieson director PO BOX 47700, PHOENIX AZ 85068
John Alexander Zimmerman director 10258 TIMBER TRAIL DR., DALLAS TX 75229
John Choo director, officer: President 4 NANAIMO DR., OTTAWA A6 K2H 6X5
Annette Lee Knebel director, officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O INDOOR HARVEST CORP., 5300 EAST FREEWAY, SUITE A, HOUSTON TX 77020
Richard A. Gutshall director, officer: Interim CEO and CFO 7716 ORISHA DRIVE, AUSTIN TX 78739
John Irving Seckman director P.O BOX 3009, IDAHO SPRINGS CO 80452