Innoveren Scientific (Innoveren Scientific) Predictability Rank

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What is Innoveren Scientific Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Innoveren Scientific Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Innoveren Scientific (Innoveren Scientific) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Innoveren Scientific Inc (OTCPK:IVRN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2202 N West Shore Boulevard, Suite 200, Tampa, FL, USA, 33607

Website

https://www.hcyte.com

Innoveren Scientific Inc Formerly H-CYTE Inc is a hybrid biopharmaceutical company dedicated to developing and delivering new treatments for patients with chronic respiratory and pulmonary disorders. It has two divisions: the Healthcare Medical Biosciences Division (which includes the Infusion Vertical and the Biologics Vertical) and the DenerveX medical device division.

Executives

Fwhc Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	1306 W KENNEDY BOULEVARD, TAMPA FL 33606
Hoa Capital Llc	10 percent owner	1306 W KENNEDY BOULEVARD, TAMPA FL 33606
Farrior J Rex Iii	10 percent owner	1306 W KENNEDY BOULEVARD, TAMPA FL 33606
Fwhc Bridge Friends, Llc	10 percent owner	1306 W KENNEDY BOULEVARD, TAMPA FL 33606
Raymond Monteleone	director	201 E KENNEDY BLVD, STE 700, TAMPA FL 33602
Jeremy Daniel	officer: Chief Financial Officer	201 E KENNEDY AVE, STE 700, TAMPA FL 33602
Robert Smith Greif	officer: President and C.E.O.	19 MAY STREET, NEEDHAM MA 02492
Cfrs Investments, Llc	10 percent owner	2903 W VILLA ROSA PARK, TAMPA FL 33611
Frederick J Lynch	10 percent owner	C/O MASONITE INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 201 NORTH FRANKLIN ST., SUITE 300, TAMPA FL 33602
Fwhc Bridge, Llc	10 percent owner	334 EAST LAKE ROAD, SUITE 176, PALM HARBOT FL 34685
Todd R Wagner	10 percent owner	3385 OLD KEYSTONE ROAD, TARPON SPRINGS FL 34688
Michael Yurkowsky	director	2380 OLD MILTON PARKWAY, ALPHARETTA GA 30009
William E Horne	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	201 EAST KENNEDY BLVD, SUITE 700, TAMPA FL 33602
Jon Mogford	director	714 PLUM HOLLOW DRIVE, COLLEGE STATION TX 77845
John C Thomas	director	8601 SIX FORKS ROAD, SUITE 160, RALEIGH NC 27615