Omega Therapeutics (Omega Therapeutics) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Omega Therapeutics Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Omega Therapeutics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Omega Therapeutics Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Omega Therapeutics's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Omega Therapeutics (Omega Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Omega Therapeutics Inc (NAS:OMGA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

20 Acorn Park Drive, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02140

Website

https://www.omegatherapeutics.com

Omega Therapeutics Inc is a development-stage biotechnology company leveraging its proprietary epigenomic programming platform to biologically engineer a new class of programmable epigenetic medicines, known as Omega Epigenomic Controllers. Using the epigenomic controllers, Omega is seeking to transform the practice of human medicine through highly selective and direct control of the human genome to treat and cure disease. It primarily operates in the U.S.

Executives

Michelle C Werner	director	C/O OMEGA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 20 ACORN PARK D, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Christian S Schade	director	MEDAREX, 707 STATE ROAD, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Richard A Young	director, 10 percent owner	C/O SYROS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 620 MEMORIAL DRIVE SUITE 300, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Flagship Pioneering Special Opportunities Fund Ii General Partner Llc	10 percent owner	55 CAMBRIDGE PARKWAY, 8TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Flagship Pioneering Fund Vii, L.p.	10 percent owner	55 CAMBRIDGE PARKWAY, 8TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Flagship Pioneering Fund Vii General Partner Llc	10 percent owner	55 CAMBRIDGE PARKWAY, 8TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Rainer J. Boehm	director	C/O HUMANIGEN, INC., 1000 MARINA BOULEVARD, SUITE 250, BRISBANE CA 94005-1878
Joshua Reed	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O ALDEYRA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 131 HARTWELL AVENUE, SUITE 320, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Kevin Mcmanus	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	C/O OMEGA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 20 ACORN PARK D, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Ling Zeng	officer: See Remarks	C/O DICERNA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 33 HAYDEN AVENUE, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Yan Moore	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O OMEGA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 20 ACORN PARK D, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
David A Berry	director	C/O ELEVEN BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 215 FIRST STREET, SUITE 400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Flagship Ventures Fund V General Partner Llc	10 percent owner	55 CAMBRIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 800E, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Roger Sawhney	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O OMEGA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 20 ACORN PARK D, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Flagship Pioneering Fund Vi General Partner Llc	10 percent owner	55 CAMBRIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 800E, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142