OncoSec Medical (OncoSec Medical) Predictability Rank

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What is OncoSec Medical Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

OncoSec Medical Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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OncoSec Medical (OncoSec Medical) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » OncoSec Medical Inc (OTCPK:ONCSQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

24 North Main Street, Pennington, NJ, USA, 08534

Website

https://www.oncosec.com

OncoSec Medical Inc is a healthcare sector company. It is focused on designing, developing and commercializing gene therapies, therapeutics, and medical approaches to stimulate an anti-tumor immune response for the treatment of cancer. The company's lead product candidate, ImmunoPulse IL-12, consists of a plasmid construct encoding the proinflammatory cytokine, IL-12, which is delivered into the tumor through in vivo electroporation. In addition, it is pursuing ImmunoPulse IL-12 monotherapy in patients with triple-negative breast cancer.

Executives

Robert J Delaversano	officer: Principal Accounting Officer	217 W. MAIN STREET, SOMERVILLE NJ 08876
Spahr Stephany Foster	director	C/O ONCOSEC MEDICAL, 24 NORTH MAIN STREET, PENNINGTON NJ 08534
Robert H. Arch	officer: President and CEO	C/O ONCOSEC MEDICAL INCORPORATED, 24 NORTH MAIN STREET, PENNINGTON NJ 08534
George Chi	officer: Chief Financial Officer	9620 MEDICAL CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 300, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Lin Shi	director	24 NORTH MAIN STREET, PENNINGTON NJ 08534-2218
Margaret Dalesandro	director	ONCOSEC MEDICAL INCORPORATED, 24 NORTH MAIN STREET, PENNINGTON NJ 08534
Yuhang Zhao	director	6 HORTON DR., CHESTER NJ 07930
Brian A Leuthner	officer: Chief Operating Officer	200 CONNELL DRIVE, SUITE 1600, BERKELEY HEIGHTS NJ 07922
Daniel J. O'connor	director	C/O SEELOS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 300 PARK AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
China Grand Pharmaceutical & Healthcare Holdings Ltd	10 percent owner, other: See Remarks	UNIT 3302, 33/F, THE CENTER, 99 QUEEN'S ROAD, CENTRAL K3 000000
Alpha Holdings, Inc.	director, 10 percent owner	GANGNAM-GU APGUJEONG-RO 62-GIL 17-10, SEOUL M5 06016
Kellie Malloy Foerter	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O ONCOSEC MEDICAL INCORPORATED, 24 N. MAIN STREET, PENNINGTON NJ 08534-2218
Herbert Kim Lyerly	director	C/O ONCOSEC MEDICAL INCORPORATED, 24 NORTH MAIN STREET, PENNINGTON NJ 08534-2218
Chao Zhou	director	UNIT 3302, 33/F, THE CENTER, 99 QUEEN'S ROAD, CENTRAL K3 000000
Grand Decade Developments Ltd	10 percent owner, other: See Remarks	UNIT 3302, 33/F, THE CENTER, 99 QUEEN'S ROAD, CENTRAL K3 000000