QualTek Services (QualTek Services) Predictability Rank

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What is QualTek Services Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

QualTek Services Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

QualTek Services Predictability Rank Related Terms

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QualTek Services (QualTek Services) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Telecommunication Services » QualTek Services Inc (OTCPK:QTEKQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

475 Sentry Parkway E, Suite 200, Blue Bell, PA, USA, 19422

Website

https://www.qualtekservices.com

QualTek Services Inc is a technology-driven provider of infrastructure services to the 5G wireless, telecom, power grid modernization, and renewable energy sectors across North America.

Executives

Emanuel R Pearlman	director	250 EAST 79TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10075
Alan Jeffrey Carr	director	8540 GANDER CREEK DRIVE, MIAMISBURG OH 45342
Matthew J. Mccolgan	officer: Chief Financial Officer	475 SENTRY PARKWAY E, STE 200, BLUE BELL PA 19422
John A Kritzmacher	director	C/O GLOBAL CROSSING LIMITED, 200 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 300, FLORHAM PARK NJ 07932
Bruce E Roberson	director	5416 HOLLY SPRINGS DR, HOUSTON TX 77056
Cielo Hernandez	director	C/O XL FLEET CORP., 145 NEWTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02135
Adam Paul Spittler	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O QUALTEK SERVICES INC., 475 SENTRY PARKWAY E, SUITE 200, BLUE BELL PA 19422
Christopher Scott Hisey	director, officer: CEO and Director	818 HIDDEN FOREST DRIVE, COLLEGEVILLE PA 19426
Elizabeth Downey	officer: Chief Administrative Officer	1777 SENTRY PARKWAY WEST, SUITE 302, BLUE BELL PA 19422
Daniel Lafond	director	C/O QUALTEK SERVICES INC., 475 SENTRY PARKWAY E, SUITE 200, BLUE BELL PA 19422
Brightstar Gp Investors, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	C/O QUALTEK SERVICES INC., 475 SENTRY PARKWAY E, SUITE 200, BLUE BELL PA 19422
Bcp Qualtek Ii, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	C/O QUALTEK SERVICES INC., 475 SENTRY PARKWAY E, SUITE 200, BLUE BELL PA 19422
Bcp Qualtek, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	C/O QUALTEK SERVICES INC., 475 SENTRY PARKWAY E, SUITE 200, BLUE BELL PA 19422
Raul A Deju	director
Maha Eltobgy	director	C/O QUALTEK SERVICES INC., 475 SENTRY PARKWAY E, SUITE 200, BLUE BELL PA 19422