SAI.TECH Global (SAI.TECH Global) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is SAI.TECH Global Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

SAI.TECH Global Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

SAI.TECH Global Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of SAI.TECH Global's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

SAI.TECH Global (SAI.TECH Global) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Capital Markets » SAI.TECH Global Corp (NAS:SAI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

195 Pearl’s Hill Terrace, Number 01-05, Singapore, SGP, 168976

Website

https://www.sai.tech

SAI.TECH Global Corp is an energy saving mining operator that engages in the hosting of bitcoin mining machines for its clients. It uses a proprietary liquid cooling and heat exchange technology towards mining machines that enables utilization of waste heat to provide recycled energy heating for potential customers while achieving lower mining operating costs. The Company has two reportable segments namely equipment sales & hosting and mining pool business.

Executives

Michael Davidov	director	60 EAST 42 STREET, NEW YORK NY 10165
Tao Jiang	director	3 STONER AVE, GREAT NECK NY 11021
Luqi Wen	officer: CFO and Secretary	3 STONER AVE, GREAT NECK NY 11021
Jianwei Li	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and Co-CEO	3 STONER AVE, GREAT NECK NY 11021
David Xianglin Li	director	3 STONER AVE, GREAT NECK NY 11021
Tradeup Global Sponsor Llc	director, 10 percent owner	3 STONER AVE, GREAT NECK NY 11021
Lei Huang	officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer	3 STONER AVE, GREAT NECK NY 10021