Medicine Man Technologies (Medicine Man Technologies) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2015. Start your Free Trial

What is Medicine Man Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Medicine Man Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Medicine Man Technologies Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Medicine Man Technologies's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Medicine Man Technologies (Medicine Man Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Medicine Man Technologies Inc (OTCPK:SHWZ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

SHWZ:Canada

Address

4880 Havana Street, Suite 201, Denver, CO, USA, 80239

Website

https://www.schwazze.com

Medicine Man Technologies Inc is engaged in providing general consulting services in the cannabis industry. The company also provide seminar which includes giving guidance and tips on industry opportunities, medical and recreational market trends, cultivation methodologies and technology, extraction technology, dispensary operation, security requirements. The company's operating segment includes- Retail, consisting of retail locations for sale of cannabis products; Wholesale, consisting of manufacturing, cultivation and sale of both wholesale cannabis and non-cannabis products; Other, consisting of all other income and expenses. It generates maximum revenue from the Retail segment. The company is now operating under its new trade name, Schwazze.

Executives

Christine Jones	officer: Chief Legal Officer	C/O MEDICINE MAN TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4880 HAVANA ST., SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Forrest Hoffmaster	officer: CFO	C/O MEDICINE MAN TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4880 HAVANA ST., SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Nirup Krishnamurthy	director, officer: President	4880 HAVANA STREET, SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Kathy P Vrabeck	director	625 WESTPORT PARKWAY, GRAPEVINE TX 76051
Jeff Garwood	director	55 TABBY CIRCLE, DAUFUSKIE ISLAND SC 29915
Pratap Chandra Mukharji	director	4880 HAVANA STREET, SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Salim Husan Wahdan	director	4880 HAVANA ST., STE. 201, DENVER CO 80239
Paul Joseph Montalbano	director	4880 HAVANA ST., STE. 201, DENVER CO 80239
Brad Stewart	director	C/O SEMPER PARATUS ACQUISITION CORP., 767 THIRD AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Justin Dye	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO	C/O MEDICINE MAN TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4880 HAVANA STREET, SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Jeffrey Alley Cozad	director, 10 percent owner	C/O MEDICINE MAN TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4880 HAVANA ST., SUITE 201, DENVER CO 80239
Crw Capital Holdings Ii, Llc	10 percent owner	4740 W. MOCKINGBIRD LANE, STE 195579, DALLAS TX 75209
Crw Capital, Llc	10 percent owner	4740 W. MOCKINGBIRD LANE, P.O. BOX 195579, DALLAS TX 75209
Crw Capital Cann Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	4740 W. MOCKINGBIRD LANE, P.O. BOX 195579, DALLAS TX 75209
Brian Ruden	10 percent owner	C/O 4880 HAVANA STREET, SUITE 102, DENVER CO 80239