Sutro Biopharma (Sutro Biopharma) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is Sutro Biopharma Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sutro Biopharma Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Sutro Biopharma Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sutro Biopharma's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Sutro Biopharma (Sutro Biopharma) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Sutro Biopharma Inc (NAS:STRO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

S09:Germany S09:Germany

Address

111 Oyster Point Boulevard, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080

Website

https://www.sutrobio.com

Sutro Biopharma Inc is clinical-stage drug discovery, development, and manufacturing company. It is mainly engaged in the development of biopharmaceutical products. The company manufactures next-generation protein therapeutics for cancer and autoimmune disorders through its proprietary integrated cell-free protein synthesis platform, XpressCF. Products offered by the company include STRO-001 for patients with multiple myeloma and non-Hodgkin lymphoma and STRO-002 for the treatment of ovarian and endometrial cancers.

Executives

Hans-peter Gerber	officer: Chief Scientific Officer	C/O SUTRO BIOPHARMA, INC., 111 OYSTER POINT BOULEVARD, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Brunilda Shtylla	officer: Chief Business Officer	C/O SUTRO BIOPHARMA, INC., 111 OYSTER POINT BLVD., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Venkatesh Srinivasan	officer: Chief Tech Op Officer	C/O SUTRO BIOPHARMA, INC., 111 OYSTER POINT BLVD., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Anne Elizabeth Borgman	officer: Chief Medical Officer	9000 VIRGINIA MANOR ROAD, SUITE 200, BELTSVILLE MD 20705
William J Newell	director, officer: CEO & President	887 GREAT NORTHERN WAY, VANCOUVER A1 V5T 4T5
Heidi Hunter	director	C/O SUTRO BIOPHARMA, INC., 310 UTAH AVE., SUITE 150, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Nicki Vasquez	officer: Chief Port. Strat & Alnce Ofcr	C/O SUTRO BIOPHARMA, INC., 310 UTAH AVE., SUITE 150, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Jane Chung	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O SUTRO BIOPHARMA, INC., 310 UTAH AVE., SUITE 150, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Trevor Hallam	officer: Chief Science Officer	PALATIN TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4C CEDAR BROOK DRIVE, CRANBURY NJ 08512
Jon Marc Wigginton	director	9640 MEDICAL CENTER DRIVE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
John Gordon Freund	director, 10 percent owner	125 UNIVERSITY AVE., C/O SKYLINE VENTURES, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Arturo Md Molina	officer: Chief Medical Officer	10990 WILSHIRE BLVD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Linda A Fitzpatrick	officer: Chief People & Comm. Officer	NUVELO, INC., 675 ALMANOR AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94085
James P Panek	director	C/O VAXGEN INC, 1000 MARINA BLVD. #200, BRISBANE CA 94005
Matsui Connie	director	3030 CALLAN RD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121