Tenax Therapeutics (Tenax Therapeutics) Predictability Rank

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What is Tenax Therapeutics Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Tenax Therapeutics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Tenax Therapeutics (Tenax Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Tenax Therapeutics Inc (NAS:TENX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

101 Glen Lennox Drive, Suite 300, Chapel Hill, NC, USA, 27517

Website

https://www.tenaxthera.com

Tenax Therapeutics Inc is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on identifying, developing, and commercializing products that address cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases with high unmet medical needs. The company owns North American rights to develop and commercialize levosimendan and has released topline data regarding the Phase 2 clinical trial for the use of levosimendan in the treatment of Pulmonary Hypertension associated with Heart Failure and preserved Ejection Fraction.

Executives

Robyn Hunter	director	95 SAWYER ROAD, SUITE 110, WALTHAM MA 02453
Eliot M Lurier	officer: Interim CFO	C/O TENAX THERAPEUTICS, INC., ONE COPLEY PARKWAY, SUITE 490, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
Chrisopher Thomas Giordano	director, officer: CEO	C/O TENAX THERAPEUTICS, INC., ONE COPLEY PARKWAY, SUITE 490, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
Armistice Capital, Llc	director	510 MADISON AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Armistice Capital Master Fund Ltd.	director	C/O ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC, 510 MADISON AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Steven Boyd	director	510 MADISON AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
June Sherie Almenoff	director	C/O BRAINSTORM CELL THERAPEUTICS INC., 1325 AVENUE OF AMERICAS 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Michael H. Davidson	director	OMTHERA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 707 STATE ROAD, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Declan Doogan	director	C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP, 234 CHURCH STREET, NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Stuart Rich	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O TENAX THERAPEUTICS, INC., ONE COPLEY PARKWAY, SUITE 490, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
Illya Keith Maher	director	C/O ARMISTICE CAPITAL, 510 MADISON AVE., 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Ronald R Blanck	director	2001 WALNUT HILL LANE, IRVING TX 75038
Gerald T Proehl	director
James P. Mitchum	director	C/O NEPHROGENEX, INC., 79 T.W. ALEXANDER DRIVE, RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK NC 27709
John P Kelley	officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O ACORDA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 420 SAW MILL RIVER ROAD, ARDSLEY NY 10502