What is Tharimmune Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Tharimmune Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Tharimmune (Tharimmune) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1200 Route 22 East, Suite 2000, Bridgewater, NJ, USA, 08807
Tharimmune Inc is a biotechnology company developing a portfolio of therapeutic candidates for rare immune, inflammatory, and oncologic diseases. The Company is progressing towards acquiring a clinical-stage asset, known to suppress chronic, debilitating pruritis or uncontrollable itching in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), a rare orphan liver disease with no known cure. The Company's early-stage immuno-oncology pipeline includes novel multi-specific antibodies targeting unique epitopes with novel mechanisms of action against well-known, validated targets in multiple solid tumors.
Executives
| Randy Milby |
director, officer: Chief Executive Officer |
5 JACK LANE, NEWARK DE 19711 |
| Kelly Anderson |
director |
C/O TOMI ENVIRONMENTAL SOLUTIONS, INC., 9454 WILSHIRE BLVD., R-1, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212 |
| Leonard L Mazur |
director |
C/O CITIUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 11 COMMERCE DRIVE, 1ST FLOOR, CRANFORD NJ 07016 |
| Sandeep Laumas |
10 percent owner |
8480 HONEYCUTT RD, SUITE 200, RALEIGH NC 27615 |
| Thomas Hess |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
366 MADISON AVE. 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017 |
| Sireesh Appajosyula |
director |
1200 ROUTE 22 EAST, SUITE 2000, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807 |
| Lynne A. Bui |
director |
1200 ROUTE 22 EAST, SUITE 2000, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807 |
| Surender Kharbanda |
10 percent owner |
1200 ROUTE 22 EAST, SUITE 2000, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807 |
| Highpoint Pharmaceuticals Llc |
10 percent owner |
16192 COASTAL HIGHWAY, LEWES DE 19958 |
| Kufe Llc |
10 percent owner |
179 GROVE STREET, WELLESLEY MA 02482 |
| Varinder Kaur |
10 percent owner |
1200 ROUTE 22 EAST, SUITE 2000, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807 |
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