Tempo Automation Holdings (Tempo Automation Holdings) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is Tempo Automation Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Tempo Automation Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Tempo Automation Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tempo Automation Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Tempo Automation Holdings (Tempo Automation Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Tempo Automation Holdings Inc (OTCPK:TMPOQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2460 Alameda Street, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94103

Website

https://www.tempoautomation.com

Tempo Automation Holdings Inc is a software-accelerated electronics manufacturer, transforming the way top companies innovate and bring new products to market. Tempo's automated manufacturing platform optimizes the complex process of printed circuit board manufacturing to deliver unmatched quality, speed, and agility. The platform's all-digital process automation, data-driven intelligence, and connected smart factory create a distinctive competitive advantage for customers to deliver tomorrow's products today.

Executives

Sqn Venture Partners, Llc	10 percent owner	320 BROAD STREET, SUITE 250, CHARLESTON SC 29401
Jacqueline D. Schneider	director	5540 PIONEER CREEK DRIVE, MAPLE PLAIN MN 55359
Point72 Private Investments, Llc	10 percent owner	72 CUMMINGS POINT ROAD, STAMFORD CT 06902
Matthew W Granade	director	C/O TEMPO AUTOMATION, INC., 2460 ALAMEDA STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Joy Weiss	director, officer: President & CEO	C/O TEMPO AUTOMATION, INC., 2460 ALAMEDA STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Ace Equity Partners Llc	10 percent owner	1013 CENTRE ROAD, SUITE 4035, WILINGTON DE 19805
Cohen Steven A/sac Capital Mgmt Lp	10 percent owner	C/O SAC CAPITAL ADVISORS LLC, 72 CUMMINGS POINT ROAD, STAMFORD CT 06902
David Young Ko	10 percent owner	1013 CENTRE ROAD, SUITE 4035, WILINGTON DE 19805
Ace Equity Partners International Pte Ltd.	10 percent owner	1013 CENTRE ROAD, SUITE 4035, WILINGTON DE 19805
Ace So5 Holdings Ltd	10 percent owner	8 MARINA VIEW, ASIA SQUARE TOWER 1, #43-01, SINGAPORE U0 018960
Highbridge Capital Management Llc	10 percent owner	277 PARK AVE, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10172
Sunny Siu	director, officer: President	C/O ACE CONVERGENCE ACQUISITION CORP., 1013 CENTRE ROAD, SUITE 403S, WILMINGTON DE 19805
Denis Tse	director, officer: Secretary	C/O ACE CONVERGENCE ACQUISITION CORP., 1013 CENTRE ROAD, SUITE 403S, WILMINGTON DE 19805
Minyoung Park	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O ACE CONVERGENCE ACQUISITION CORP., 1013 CENTRE ROAD, SUITE 403S, WILMINGTON DE 19805
Raquel Chmielewski	director	C/O ACE CONVERGENCE ACQUISITION CORP., 1013 CENTRE ROAD, SUITE 403S, WILMINGTON DE 19805