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Vicapsys Life Sciences (Vicapsys Life Sciences) Predictability Rank


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What is Vicapsys Life Sciences Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Vicapsys Life Sciences Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Vicapsys Life Sciences Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Vicapsys Life Sciences (Vicapsys Life Sciences) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Vicapsys Life Sciences Inc (OTCPK:VICP) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
DARE INKT IGC CASI VIRX LEXX ACXP FBIO RNXT EYEN OCSE:NOVO B VRTX REGN ASX:CSL MRNA XKRX:207940 XKRX:068270 XBRU:UCB XBRU:ARGX BNTX
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
7778 Mcginnis Ferry Road, Suite 270, Suwanee, GA, USA, 30024
Website
https://www.vicapsys.com
Vicapsys Life Sciences Inc is a biotech company that is engaged in commercializing implantable medical products that incorporate VICAPSYN, inducing a zone of immuno-protection around devices and cells implanted in the human body. The product name VICAPSYN is the company's line of proprietary product candidates that is applied to transplantation therapies and related stem-cell applications in the transplantation field.
Executives
Moore Bobby M Jr 10 percent owner 4125 S.B. MERRION ROAD, LAKELAND FL 33810
Robert Grammen 10 percent owner 9180 GALLENA COURT, NAPLES FL 34109
Michael Yurkowski director 1505 ELM STREET, #1504, DALLAS TX 75201
William P. Esping 10 percent owner 2828 ROUTH STREET, SUITE 500, DALLAS TX 75201
Rodger Rees director C/O BONDS.COM GROUP, INC., 1515 SOUTH FEDERAL HIGHWAY, SUITE 212, BOCA RATON FL 33432
Mark Feldmesser director 641 UNIVERSITY BLVE, JUPITER FL 33458
Federico Pier director 1004 PLUM DRIVE, IRVING TX 75063
Ryan Seddon director, 10 percent owner 8120 BELVEDERE ROAD, SUITE 4, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33411

Vicapsys Life Sciences (Vicapsys Life Sciences) Headlines

From GuruFocus

ViCapsys Life Sciences Appoints Federico Pier as Permanent Chief Executive Officer

By ACCESSWIRE ACCESSWIRE • 04-13-2022