Vislink Technologies (Vislink Technologies) Predictability Rank

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What is Vislink Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Vislink Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Vislink Technologies (Vislink Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Vislink Technologies Inc (NAS:VISL) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

350 Clark Drive, Suite 125, Mount Olive, NJ, USA, 07828

Website

https://www.vislink.com

Vislink Technologies Inc is a global technology business specializing in collecting, delivering, and managing high-quality, live video and associated data from the scene of the action to the viewing screen. It provides solutions for the collection of live news, sports, and entertainment events for the broadcast markets. It also furnishes the surveillance and defense markets with real-time video intelligence solutions using various tailored transmission products. The company provides professional and technical services utilizing a staff of technology experts with decades of applied knowledge and real-world experience in terrestrial microwave, satellite, fiber optic, surveillance, and wireless communications systems delivering a broad spectrum of customer solutions.

Executives

Paul Norridge	officer: Chief Financial Officer	350 CLARK DRIVE, MT. OLIVE NY 07828
Carleton M Miller	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	4508 SALERNO CIRCLE, PLANO TX 70593
Jude T Panetta	director	10500 W. 153RD STREET, ORLAND PARK IL 60462
Michael C. Bond	officer: Chief Financial Officer	12220 WORLD TRADE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92128
Brian K. Krolicki	director	P.O. BOX 676, ZEPHYR COVE NV 89448
Ralph E Faison	director	12220 WORLD TRADE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92128
Belinda Allen Marino	officer: Secretary	2801 TEAL AVENUE, SARASOTA FL 34232
Susan Swenson	director	C/O PALM INC, 5470 GREAT AMERICAN PARKWAY MS12116, SANTA CLARA CA 95052
Payne John Bayly Iv	officer: President	373 RIDGE RD, NEWTON NJ 07860
James M Walton	officer: President of IMT Ltd.	240 S. PINEAPPLE AVENUE, SUITE 701, SARASOTA FL 34236
Ross James Woodyatt	officer: President	240 S PINEAPPLE AVE, STE 701, SARASOTA FL 34236
John C Coleman	director, officer: CEO	240 S PINEAPPLE AVE, STE 701, SARASOTA FL 34236
Roger G Branton	10 percent owner, officer: CFO	240 S PINEAPPLE AVE, STE 701, SARASOTA FL 34236
James T Conway	director	40 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Gary Cuccio	director	240 S PINEAPPLE AVE, STE 701, SARASOTA FL 34236