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Vertiv Holdings Co (Vertiv Holdings Co) Predictability Rank


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What is Vertiv Holdings Co Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Vertiv Holdings Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Vertiv Holdings Co Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Vertiv Holdings Co (Vertiv Holdings Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
505 N. Cleveland Ave., Westerville, OH, USA, 43082
Vertiv Holdings Co brings together hardware, software, analytics and ongoing services to ensure its customers' vital applications run continuously, perform optimally and grow with their business needs. The company solves the important challenges faced by data centers, communication networks and commercial and industrial facilities with a portfolio of power, cooling and IT infrastructure solutions and services that extends from the cloud to the edge of the network. Its services include critical power, thermal management, racks and enclosures, monitoring and management, and other services. Its three business segments include the Americas, Asia Pacific; and Europe, Middle East & Africa.
Executives
Vpe Holdings, Llc director, 10 percent owner 360 NORTH CRESCENT DRIVE, SOUTH BUILDING, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Scott Cripps officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O VERTIV HOLDINGS CO, 1050 DEARBORN DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43085
Platinum Equity Partners Iii, Llc director C/O PLATINUM EQUITY ADVISORS, LLC, 360 NORTH CRESCENT DRIVE, SOUTH BUILDING, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Doherty Philip O' officer: Managing Director, E+I 1050 DEARBORN DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43085
Anders Karlborg officer: EVP, Man., Logistics and Op Ex 505 N. CLEVELAND AVE., WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Stephen Liang officer: President of Asia Pacific C/O VERTIV HOLDINGS CO, 1050 DEARBORN DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43085
Paul Ryan officer: Chief Procurement Officer 505 N. CLEVELAND AVE., WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Platinum Equity Partners Iv, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O PLATINUM EQUITY ADVISORS, LLC, 360 NORTH CRESCENT DRIVE, SOUTH BUILDING, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Platinum Equity Partners Iv, Llc director, 10 percent owner C/O PLATINUM EQUITY ADVISORS, LLC, 360 NORTH CRESCENT DRIVE, SOUTH BUILDING, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Lim Cheryl H.j. officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1050 DEARBORN DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43085
Joseph J Deangelo director 3100 CUMBERLAND BOULEVARD, SUITE 1700, ATLANTA GA 30339
Jakki L. Haussler director 221 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Michael J. Kitson officer: Chief Procurement Officer 1050 DEARBORN DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43085
John F. Marion officer: EVP, Quality, VOS and Process 1050 DEARBORN DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43085
David Joseph Fallon officer: Chief Financial Officer 28213 VAN DYKE AVENUE, WARREN MI 48093