GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Zeo ScientifiX Inc (OTCPK:ZEOX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Zeo ScientifiX (Zeo ScientifiX) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2013. Start your Free Trial

What is Zeo ScientifiX Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Zeo ScientifiX Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Zeo ScientifiX Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Zeo ScientifiX's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Zeo ScientifiX (Zeo ScientifiX) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3321 College Avenue, Suite 246, Davie, FL, USA, 33314
Organicell Regenerative Medicine Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company principally focusing on the development of innovative biological therapeutics for the treatment of degenerative diseases and regenerative medicine. Its product candidate, Zofinis an acellular, biologic therapeutic derived from perinatal sources and is manufactured to retain naturally occurring microRNAs, without the addition or combination of any other substance or diluent. Zofin is in Phase I/II clinical trials to treat Long COVID and COPD and Osteoarthritis. The company has entered an agreement with CDC to determine the anti-inflammatory and anti-infective effectiveness of Zofin in experimental models of influenza infection.
Executives
Skycrest Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 1930 HARRISON STREET, SUITE 204, HOLLYWOOD FL 33020
Harry L. Leider director, officer: CEO and Director C/O GELESIS, INC., 501 BOYLSTON STREET, SUITE 6102, BOSTON MA 02116
Howard Lawrence Golub officer: Executive Vice President & CSO 23648 SEPTEMBER SUN SQ, ASHBURN VA 20148
Matthew Phillip Sinnreich officer: COO and Acting CEO 4045 SHERIDAN AVENUE, SUITE 239, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Steven Jerry Glauser director 1428 BRICKELL AVENUE, SUITE 105, MIAMI FL 33131
Leathem S Stearn director 2306 BAY DRIVE, POMPANO BEACH FL 33062
Charles Luther Bretz director 58 N. CHICAGO ST, 2ND FLOOR, JOLIET IL 60432
Bhupendra Kumar Modi director 6 MARINA BOULEVARD, #63-18, THE SALE @ MARINA BAY U0 018985
Gurvinder Pal Singh director E - 128, FIRST FLOOR, GREATER KAILASH - II, NEW DELHI K7 110048
John F Chiste director
Ryan C Likes officer: Chief Operating Officer 1116 MEADOWBROOK AVE., LOS ANGELES CA 90019
Greyt Ventures, Llc 10 percent owner GREYT VENTURES, LLC, 20533 BISCAYNE BOULEVARD, SUITE 648, AVENTURA FL 33180
Wendy Grey 10 percent owner GREYT VENTURES, LLC, 20533 BISCAYNE BOULEVARD, SUITE 648, AVENTURA FL 33180
Ian T Bothwell 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Financial Officer 77 530 ENFIELD LANE, BLDG D, PALM DESERT CA 92211
Albert Mitrani director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 4045 SHERIDAN AVE., SUITE 239, MIAMI BEACH FL 33140