Zomedica (Zomedica) Predictability Rank

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What is Zomedica Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Zomedica Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Zomedica (Zomedica) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Zomedica Corp (AMEX:ZOM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

100 Phoenix Drive, Suite 125, Ann Arbor, MI, USA, 48108

Website

https://www.zomedica.com

Zomedica Corp is a veterinary health company creating products for companion animals (canine, feline and equine) by focusing on the unmet needs of clinical veterinarians. The company's product portfolio includes diagnostics and therapeutics that emphasize patient health and practice health. The company is currently focused on the final development and commercialization of its TRUFORMA platform, which detects thyroid disorders in dogs & cats and adrenal disorders in dogs. Its operations are comprised of two reportable segments: Diagnostic & Therapeutics. It earns the majority of revenue from the therapeutics segment.

Executives

Johnny D Powers	director	C/O ZOMEDICA CORP., 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 125, ANN ARBOR MI 48018
Heaton Larry C Ii	officer: President	C/O ZOMEDICA CORP., 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 125, ANN ARBOR MI 48018
Russell Kevin Klass	officer: Vice President of Sales	C/O ZOMEDICA CORP, PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 125, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Peter Donato	officer: Chief Financial Officer	9172 ETON AVENUE, CHATSWORTH CA 91311
Pamela Nichols	director	14841 EAST WILDCAT DR., SCOTTSDALE AZ 85262
Karen Dehaan-fullerton	officer: Chief Counsel and Secretary	C/O ZOMEDICA CORP, 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 125, ANN ARBOR MI 48018
Anthony K Blair	officer: Chief Operating Officer	NEOPROBE CORPORATION, 425 METRO PLACE NORTH #300, DUBLIN OH 43017
Adrian Lock	officer: VP and General Manager	C/O ZOMEDICA CORP, 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 125, ANN ARBOR MI 48018
Sean Whelan	director	C/O ZOMEDICA CORP., 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 125, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Robert Cohen	officer: Interim CEO	C/O ZOMEDICA CORP., 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 125, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Ann Cotter	officer: Chief Financial Officer & Sec.	C/O ZOMEDICA PHARMACEUTICALS CORP., 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 180, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Stephanie Morley	officer: COO & VP of Product Dev	C/O ZOMEDICA CORP., 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 125, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Christopher Ross Macleod	director	C/O ZOMEDICA CORP., 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 125, ANN ARBOR MI 48018
Christopher Wolfenberg	director	C/O ZOMEDICA PHARMACEUTICALS CORP, 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 180, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Gerald Jr Solensky	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO	C/O ZOMEDICA PHARMACEUTICALS CORP., 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, SUITE 190, ANN ARBOR MI 48108