HeartBeam (HeartBeam) Predictability Rank

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What is HeartBeam Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

HeartBeam Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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HeartBeam (HeartBeam) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » HeartBeam Inc (NAS:BEAT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2118 Walsh Avenue, Suite 210, Santa Clara, CA, USA, 95050

Website

https://www.heartbeam.com

HeartBeam Inc is a medical technology company primarily focusing on telemedicine solutions that enable the detection and monitoring of cardiac disease outside a healthcare facility setting. Its initial focus is providing diagnostic data to help physicians with the care management of patients with cardiovascular disease.

Executives

Urioste George De	director	2118 WALSH AVENUE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 95050
Kenneth Harry Persen	officer: Chief Technology Officer	2118 WALSH AVENUE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 95050
Robert Paul Eno	officer: President	2118 WALSH AVE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 95050
Michael R Jaff	director	2118 WALSH AVENUE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 95050
Mark E Strome	10 percent owner	100 WILSHIRE BLVD, 15TH FL, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Nelson Kenneth Warwick Iii	director	2118 WALSH AVENUE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 95050
Richard D Brounstein	officer: Chief Financial Officer	2118 WALSH AVENUE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 95050
Alan Baumel	officer: Chief Operating Officer	2118 WALSH AVE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 94050
Marga Ortigas-wedekind	director	2118 WALSH AVENUE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 95050
Richard M Ferrari	director, officer: Exec Chm of the BOD	2118 WALSH AVENUE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 95050
Branislav Vajdic	10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	2118 WALSH AVENUE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 95050
Willhem Elfrink	director	2118 WALSH AVE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 95050
Jon Patrick Hunt	officer: Chief Business Officer	2118 WALSH AVE, SUITE 210, SANTA CLARA CA 95050