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First Niles Financial (First Niles Financial) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Dec. 2015)


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What is First Niles Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. First Niles Financial's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Niles Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FNFI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 17.72
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


First Niles Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Niles Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Niles Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

First Niles Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec99 Dec00 Dec01 Dec02 Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.24 15.00 - - -

First Niles Financial Semi-Annual Data
Jun99 Dec99 Jun00 Dec00 Jun01 Dec01 Jun02 Dec02 Jun03 Dec03 Jun04 Dec04 Jun05 Dec05 Jun06 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Jun17 Jun18
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of First Niles Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Niles Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Niles Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Niles Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Niles Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



First Niles Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

First Niles Financial's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2015 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=0.40366667/9+-0.0288
=1.61 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Niles Financial  (OTCPK:FNFI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


First Niles Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First Niles Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


First Niles Financial (First Niles Financial) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
55 North Main Street, P.O. Box 311, Niles, OH, USA, 44446-0311
First Niles Financial Inc is a unitary, non-diversified holding company. It conducts a general banking business in Niles, Ohio, which consists of attracting deposits from the general public and applying those funds to the origination of loans for residential, commercial, and consumer purposes. The primary sources of revenue for the company are from interest and dividend income on loans and securities along with noninterest revenue resulting from investment security gains, loan servicing, gains on the sale of loans, commitment fees, fees from financial guarantees, certain credit cards fees, and income on bank-owned life insurance.

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