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Lonrho (LSE:LONR) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Dec. 2012)


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What is Lonrho Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Lonrho's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lonrho's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:LONR's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Conglomerates industry.
Industry Median: 12.495
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Lonrho Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lonrho's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lonrho Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Lonrho Annual Data
Trend Sep03 Sep04 Sep05 Sep06 Sep07 Sep08 Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Dec12
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -31.35 - -61.82 -55.64 -

Lonrho Semi-Annual Data
Mar02 Sep02 Mar03 Sep03 Mar05 Sep05 Mar06 Sep06 Mar07 Sep07 Mar08 Sep08 Mar09 Sep09 Mar10 Sep10 Mar11 Sep11 Jun12 Dec12
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -61.82 - -55.64 - -

Competitive Comparison of Lonrho's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Lonrho's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lonrho's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Lonrho's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lonrho's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Lonrho Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Lonrho's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2012 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0/0.085+0
=0.00 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lonrho  (LSE:LONR) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Lonrho Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Lonrho's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Lonrho (LSE:LONR) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Conglomerates » Lonrho PLC (LSE:LONR) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
Level 2, 25 Berkeley Square, London, GBR, W1J 6HB
Lonrho PLC is engaged in providing the infrastructure and services required for the growing oil, mineral and agricultural sectors in Africa. The Company has a diverse portfolio of investments across Sub-Saharan Africa in four core operating sectors: Agribusiness, Infrastructure, Hotels and Support Services. Agribusiness vertically integrates the production, sourcing, logistics, processing and distribution of agricultural products from Sub-Saharan Africa to the consumer. The division supplies to its retailers in Sub-Saharan Africa, Europe, the USA, Middle East, Scandinavia and the Far East. The division also distributes agricultural and heavy machinery. Infrastructure division develops and manages oil logistics terminals. Luba Freeport, the oil service terminal in the Gulf of Guinea, has attracted oil service companies to be long term tenants at the port to service offshore exploration and production rigs. The Company's Hotel division includes hotels centred on the commercial, conference and business related markets across the Continent. It owns or manages hotels in Lubumbashi and Kinshasa in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Maputo in Mozambique, Gaborone in Botswana and Mutare in Zimbabwe. IT business is a full systems integrator and manager that designs, builds, develops and integrates IT solutions for large corporate clients, banks and governments and then undertakes management contracts to run and manage installations. The IT division is a distributor for Cisco, Microsoft, Dell and Hewlett Packard systems and equipment.

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