GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Retail - Defensive » McColl's Retail Group PLC (LSE:MCLS) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

McColl's Retail Group (LSE:MCLS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Nov. 2020)


View and export this data going back to 2014. Start your Free Trial

What is McColl's Retail Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. McColl's Retail Group's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for McColl's Retail Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:MCLS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Retail - Defensive industry.
Industry Median: 16.01
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


McColl's Retail Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for McColl's Retail Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McColl's Retail Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

McColl's Retail Group Annual Data
Trend Nov11 Nov12 Nov13 Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.22 7.40 16.99 - -

McColl's Retail Group Semi-Annual Data
Nov11 Nov12 May13 Nov13 May14 Nov14 May15 Nov15 May16 Nov16 May17 Nov17 May18 Nov18 May19 Nov19 May20 Nov20 May21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of McColl's Retail Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, McColl's Retail Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McColl's Retail Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, McColl's Retail Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McColl's Retail Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



McColl's Retail Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

McColl's Retail Group's Forward Rate of Return of Nov. 2020 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.2105/0.30496+-0.0097
=68.06 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


McColl's Retail Group  (LSE:MCLS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


McColl's Retail Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McColl's Retail Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McColl's Retail Group (LSE:MCLS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
One London Road, Ground Floor West, Brentwood, Essex, GBR, CM14 4QW
McColl's Retail Group PLC is a retailer operator of convenience and newsagent stores. The company's products and services include everyday groceries, milk, baked beans, fruit pots, snacks, and ready meals, Lotto, Paypoint, and beers, wines, and spirits. The group operates more than 800 convenience stores and approximately 400 newsagent stores. It derives most of the revenue from convenience stores.

McColl's Retail Group (LSE:MCLS) Headlines

No Headlines