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Arthur J. Gallagher (Arthur J. Gallagher) Altman Z2-Score : 0.86 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Arthur J. Gallagher Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Arthur J. Gallagher has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.86, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arthur J. Gallagher's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AJG' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.86   Med: 1.07   Max: 1.36
Current: 0.86

During the past 13 years, Arthur J. Gallagher's highest Altman Z2-Score was 1.36. The lowest was 0.86. And the median was 1.07.


Arthur J. Gallagher Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Arthur J. Gallagher's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Arthur J. Gallagher Altman Z2-Score Chart

Arthur J. Gallagher Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.03 1.36 1.07 1.07 0.86

Arthur J. Gallagher Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.07 0.84 0.91 0.86 -

Competitive Comparison of Arthur J. Gallagher's Altman Z2-Score

For the Insurance Brokers subindustry, Arthur J. Gallagher's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arthur J. Gallagher's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Arthur J. Gallagher's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arthur J. Gallagher's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Arthur J. Gallagher Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Arthur J. Gallagher's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0302+3.26*0.0743+6.72*0.0274+1.05*0.2277
=0.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $60,976 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $41,480 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $39,637 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $4,529 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 772.7 + -82.2 + 364.1 + 297.4 = $1,352 Mil.
Interest Expense was -92.2 + -78.2 + -72.8 + -77.8 = $-321 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $49,632 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(41479.5 - 39636.5)/60975.9
=0.0302

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=4529.3/60975.9
=0.0743

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1352 - -321)/60975.9
=0.0274

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(11300.8 - 0)/49631.7
=0.2277

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Arthur J. Gallagher has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.86 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Arthur J. Gallagher  (NYSE:AJG) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Arthur J. Gallagher Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Arthur J. Gallagher (Arthur J. Gallagher) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2850 Golf Road, Rolling Meadows, IL, USA, 60008-4050
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co provides insurance brokerage and consulting services to middle-market entities around the world. The majority of the company's revenue comes from its brokerage segment, where it negotiates and places its customers with insurance companies that provide, among other types, property/casualty and health insurance. The company's primary source of revenue in the brokerage segment is commissioning from the insurance companies. The company also generates significant revenue in its corporate segment, which includes clean energy investment and other investment income. The company generates most of its revenue in the United States, with the remaining revenue coming primarily from Australia, Bermuda, Canada, the Caribbean, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom.
Executives
Douglas K Howell officer: Vice President and Chief ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO., TWO PIERCE PLACE, ITASCA IL 60143
William F Ziebell officer: VICE PRESIDENT 2 PIERCE PLACE, ITASCA IL 60143
Christopher E Mead officer: VICE PRESIDENT 2850 GOLF ROAD, ROLLING MEADOWS IL 60008
Joel D Cavaness officer: Vice President 2 PIERCE PLACE, ITASCA IL 60143
David S Johnson director C/O ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO., TWO PIERCE PLACE, ITASCA IL 60143
Walter D. Bay officer: VICE PRESIDENT, SECRETARY AND 1011 ELM STREET, WINNETKA IL 60093
Richard C Cary officer: Controller C/O ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO., TWO PIERCE PLACE, ITASCA IL 60143
Sherry S Barrat director C/O NEXTERA ENERGY, INC., 700 UNIVERSE BLVD, JUNO BEACH FL 33408
Susan E Mcgrath other: Vice President C/O ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO., TWO PIERCE PLACE, ITASCA IL 60143
Kay W Mccurdy director C/O ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO., TWO PIERCE PLACE, ITASCA IL 60143
Patrick Murphy Gallagher officer: Vice President 2850 GOLF ROAD, ROLLING MEADOWS IL 60008
Scott R Hudson officer: CORPORATE VP C/O ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO., TWO PIERCE PLACE, ITASCA IL 60143
William L Bax director TWO PIERCE PLACE, C/O ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO., ITASCA IL 60143
Mark H. Bloom officer: Vice President 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Gallagher J Patrick Jr director, officer: President & CEO C/O ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO., TWO PIERCE PLACE, ITASCA IL 60143