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AerSale (AerSale) Altman Z2-Score : 7.61 (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is AerSale Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

AerSale has a Altman Z2-Score of 7.61, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AerSale's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASLE' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 7.59   Med: 10.68   Max: 14.12
Current: 7.61

During the past 6 years, AerSale's highest Altman Z2-Score was 14.12. The lowest was 7.59. And the median was 10.68.


AerSale Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AerSale's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AerSale Altman Z2-Score Chart

AerSale Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - 12.97 9.51 10.45 7.59

AerSale Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.83 8.39 8.21 7.59 7.61

Competitive Comparison of AerSale's Altman Z2-Score

For the Airports & Air Services subindustry, AerSale's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AerSale's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, AerSale's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AerSale's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



AerSale Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

AerSale's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.434+3.26*0.2441+6.72*0.0005+1.05*3.7756
=7.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $571.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $288.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $40.2 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $139.5 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 5.876 + -0.64 + -2.107 + -5.045 = $-1.9 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.935 + -1.023 + -0.25 + 0 = $-2.2 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $119.7 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(288.374 - 40.246)/571.694
=0.434

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=139.548/571.694
=0.2441

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-1.916 - -2.208)/571.694
=0.0005

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(451.983 - 0)/119.711
=3.7756

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

AerSale has a Altman Z2-Score of 7.61 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


AerSale  (NAS:ASLE) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AerSale Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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AerSale (AerSale) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
255 Alhambra Circle, Suite 435, Coral Gables, FL, USA, 33134
AerSale Corp is an integrated, diversified global leader in aviation aftermarket products and services. It specializes in the sale, lease, and exchange of used aircraft, engines, and components, in addition to providing a broad range of maintenance, repair, and overhaul, and engineering services for commercial aircraft and components. The company operating segment includes Asset Management Solutions and TechOps. It generates maximum revenue from the Asset Management Solutions segment.
Executives
Michael Kirton director, 10 percent owner 11111 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Green Equity Investors Cf, L.p. director, 10 percent owner 11111 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Frederick Craig Wright officer: See Remarks C/O AERSALE CORPORATION, 121 ALHAMBRA PLAZA, SUITE 1700, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Benjamin Thomas Tschirhart officer: See Remarks 255 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE, SUITE 435, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Nicholas Finazzo director, officer: See Remarks C/O AERSALE CORPORATION, 255 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE, SUITE 435, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
James Fry officer: See Remarks YRC WORLDWIDE, INC., 10990 ROE AVENUE, OVERLAND PARK KS 66211
Basil Barimo officer: See Remarks C/O AERSALE CORPORATION, 121 ALHAMBRA PLAZA, SUITE 1700, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Martin Garmendia officer: See Remarks C/O AERSALE CORPORATION, 121 ALHAMBRA PLAZA, SUITE 1700, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Andrew C Levy director 8360 S. DURANGO DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89113
Judith Ann Fedder director 1843 CHEROKEE ROSE CIRCLE, MT PLEASANT SC 29466
Charles P Mcdonald officer: See Remarks HLH BUILDING, 101 WORLD DRIVE, PEACHTREE CITY GA 30269
Gei Capital Cf, Llc director, 10 percent owner 11111 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Lgp Associates Cf, Llc director, 10 percent owner 11111 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Green Equity Investors Side Cf, L.p. director, 10 percent owner 11111 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Claude Robert Kehler director C/O MONOCLE ACQUISITION CORPORATION, 750 LEXINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 1501, NEW YORK NY 10022