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Aircastle (Aircastle) Altman Z2-Score : 1.00 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Aircastle Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Aircastle has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.00, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aircastle's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Aircastle Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aircastle's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Aircastle Altman Z2-Score Chart

Aircastle Annual Data
Trend Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19
Altman Z2-Score
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Aircastle Quarterly Data
Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19
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Competitive Comparison of Aircastle's Altman Z2-Score

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Aircastle's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aircastle's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Aircastle's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aircastle's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Aircastle Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Aircastle's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0099+3.26*0.0738+6.72*0.0513+1.05*0.3338
=1.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2019:
Total Assets was $8,202.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $173.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $91.9 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $605.3 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 54.693 + 47.566 + 34.617 + 38.264 = $175.1 Mil.
Interest Expense was -59.551 + -62.204 + -63.639 + -60.279 = $-245.7 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $6,149.4 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(173.449 - 91.922)/8202.046
=0.0099

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=605.269/8202.046
=0.0738

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(175.14 - -245.673)/8202.046
=0.0513

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(2052.684 - 0)/6149.362
=0.3338

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Aircastle has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.00 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Aircastle  (NYSE:AYR) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Aircastle Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Aircastle (Aircastle) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
c/o Aircastle Advisor LLC, 201 Tresser Boulevard, Suite 400, Stamford, CT, USA, 06901
Aircastle Ltd is engaged in acquiring, leasing, and selling of commercial jet aircraft to airlines. The company has only single operating segment which is leasing, financing, selling, and managing commercial flight equipment.
Executives
Michael J Cave director C/O ESTERLINE TECHNOLOGIES CORP, 500 108TH AVE NE, SUITE 1500, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Douglas A Hacker director P O BOX 66100-WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60666
Ronald W Allen director P O BOX 1734, ATLANTA GA 30301
Ronald Merriman director 6175 NANCY RIDGE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Charles W. Pollard director 50 CRESCENT AVENUE, SECOND CLIFF, SCITUATE MA 02066
Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board 10 percent owner 5650 YONGE STREET, TORONTO A6 M2M 4H5
Peter V Ueberroth director CONTRARIAN GROUP INC, 1071 CAMELBACK ST, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Wesley R Edens director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 45TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fig Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46 FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Investment Group Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Operating Entity I Lp 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fig Corp. 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Adams Joseph P. Jr. director C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP LLC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Mark S Zeidman officer: Chief Financial Officer 1661 WORTHINGTON ROAD, SUITE 100, W PALM BEACH FL 33409
Fortress Investment Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 1251 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020