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Century Aluminum Co (Century Aluminum Co) Altman Z2-Score : -3.39 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Century Aluminum Co Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Century Aluminum Co has a Altman Z2-Score of -3.39, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Century Aluminum Co's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CENX' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.08   Med: -2.04   Max: 0.81
Current: -3.39

During the past 13 years, Century Aluminum Co's highest Altman Z2-Score was 0.81. The lowest was -4.08. And the median was -2.04.


Century Aluminum Co Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Century Aluminum Co's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Century Aluminum Co Altman Z2-Score Chart

Century Aluminum Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.90 -2.92 -4.08 -2.48 -3.39

Century Aluminum Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -3.16 -3.24 -4.07 -3.39

Competitive Comparison of Century Aluminum Co's Altman Z2-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, Century Aluminum Co's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Century Aluminum Co's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Century Aluminum Co's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Century Aluminum Co's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Century Aluminum Co Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Century Aluminum Co's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0022+3.26*-1.0854+6.72*-0.017+1.05*0.2367
=-3.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,847 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $767 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $763 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-2,004 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 32.3 + -56.9 + -3.4 + -38.8 = $-67 Mil.
Interest Expense was -8.9 + -9.2 + -8.7 + -8.7 = $-36 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,502 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(767.1 - 763)/1846.5
=0.0022

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2004.1/1846.5
=-1.0854

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-66.8 - -35.5)/1846.5
=-0.017

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(355.6 - 0)/1502.4
=0.2367

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Century Aluminum Co has a Altman Z2-Score of -3.39 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Century Aluminum Co  (NAS:CENX) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Century Aluminum Co Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Century Aluminum Co (Century Aluminum Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One South Wacker Drive, Suite 1000, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606
Century Aluminum Co produces primary aluminum standard grade and value-added products. The firm operates smelter facilities in the United States and Iceland. The majority of revenue is generated from Glencore, which agreed to purchase nearly all of Century Aluminum's North American production. Century purchases nearly all of its alumina from Glencore. The company produces high purity aluminum, standard grade aluminum sow and tee bars, and value-added billet and foundry products. Century also owns a carbon anode production facility in the Netherlands.
Executives
Peter A Trpkovski officer: SVP, Finance and Treasurer CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY, 1 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
Jesse E Gary director, officer: President and CEO 2511 GARDEN ROAD, BUILDING A, SUITE 200, MONTEREY CA 93940
Robert F Hoffman officer: See Remarks 1 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
Tamla A Olivier director CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY, 1 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
Matt Aboud officer: SVP, Strategy & Business Dev't CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY, 1 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
Ocorian Ltd 10 percent owner 26 NEW STREET, ST HELIER Y9 JE2 3RA
Ryfold Ltd 10 percent owner 26 NEW STREET, ST HELIER Y9 JE2 3RA
Givolon Ltd 10 percent owner 26 NEW STREET, ST HELIER Y9 JE2 3RA
Ryfold Trust 10 percent owner ESPLANADE 13-14, ST HELIER Y9 JE1 1EE
Gerald C Bialek officer: Chief Financial Officer 701 LIMA AVENUE, FINDLAY OH 45840
Andrew G Michelmore director LEVEL 23/28 FRESHWATER PLACE, P.O. BOX 19421, SOUTHBANK VICTORIA C3 3006
Jarl Berntzen director CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY, 2511 GARDEN ROAD, BLDG A, SUITE 200, MONTEREY CA 93940
Errol Glasser director 505 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jennifer Mary Bush director CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY, 1 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
John Dezee officer: EVP and General Counsel 1 S WACKER DR, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606