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Cogent Biosciences (Cogent Biosciences) Altman Z2-Score : -1.80 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Cogent Biosciences Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Cogent Biosciences has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.80, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cogent Biosciences's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

COGT' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.98   Med: 0.55   Max: 9.47
Current: -1.8

During the past 9 years, Cogent Biosciences's highest Altman Z2-Score was 9.47. The lowest was -6.98. And the median was 0.55.


Cogent Biosciences Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cogent Biosciences's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cogent Biosciences Altman Z2-Score Chart

Cogent Biosciences Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -6.98 9.47 7.46 2.03 -1.80

Cogent Biosciences Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.03 0.03 5.20 -0.10 -1.80

Competitive Comparison of Cogent Biosciences's Altman Z2-Score

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Cogent Biosciences's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cogent Biosciences's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Cogent Biosciences's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cogent Biosciences's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Cogent Biosciences Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Cogent Biosciences's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.7421+3.26*-1.9258+6.72*-0.6139+1.05*3.5547
=-1.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $313.44 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $270.77 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $38.17 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-603.62 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -54.365 + -55.382 + -44.076 + -38.587 = $-192.41 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $55.64 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(270.771 - 38.168)/313.437
=0.7421

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-603.624/313.437
=-1.9258

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-192.41 - 0)/313.437
=-0.6139

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(257.802 - 60.035)/55.635
=3.5547

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Cogent Biosciences has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.80 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Cogent Biosciences  (NAS:COGT) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Cogent Biosciences Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Cogent Biosciences (Cogent Biosciences) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
275 Wyman Street, 3rd Floor, Waltham, MA, USA, 02451
Cogent Biosciences Inc a biotechnology company focused on developing precision therapies for genetically defined diseases. It designs rational precision therapies that treat the underlying cause of disease and improve the lives of patients. Its program CGT9486, is a selective tyrosine kinase inhibitor designed to potently inhibit the KIT D816V mutation as well as other mutations in KIT exon 17. In the vast majority of cases, KIT D816V is responsible for driving Systemic Mastocytosis (SM), a serious disease caused by the unchecked proliferation of mast cells. Exon 17 mutations are also found in patients with advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST), a type of cancer with strong dependence on oncogenic KIT signaling.
Executives
Fairmount Funds Management Llc 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 200 BARR HARBOR DRIVE, SUITE 400, WEST CONSHOHOCKEN PA 19428
Evan Kearns officer: Chief Legal Officer AGENUS INC., 3 FORBES ROAK, LEXINGTON MA 02421
John L. Green officer: Chief Financial Officer MERRIMACK PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., ONE KENDALL SQUARE, SUITE B7201, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
John Edward Robinson officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O COGENT BIOSCIENCES, INC., 200 CAMBRIDGE PARK DRIVE, SUITE 2500, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Christopher W. Cain director 2001 MARKET STREET, SUITE 2500, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Peter Evan Harwin director 2001 MARKET STREET, SUITE 2500, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Arlene Morris director C/O AFFYMAX, INC., 4001 MIRANDA AVE., PALO ALTO CA 94304
Todd Shegog director 200 SIDNEY STREET, SUITE 320, C/O SYNLOGIC, INC., CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Jessica Sachs officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O UNUM THERAPEUTICS INC., 200 CAMBRIDGE PARK DRIVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Matthew Ros director C/O EPIZYME, INC., 400 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Karen Jean Ferrante director 150 ADIRONDACK DRIVE, EAST GREENWICH RI 02818
Andrew R Robbins director, officer: President and CEO C/O 3200 WALNUT ST, BOULDER CO 80301
Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 530 FIFTH AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Vhcp Management Iii, Llc 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Vhcp Management Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018

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