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Tredegar (Tredegar) Altman Z2-Score : -1.44 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Tredegar Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Tredegar has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.44, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tredegar's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TG' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.44   Med: 4.07   Max: 5.22
Current: -1.44

During the past 13 years, Tredegar's highest Altman Z2-Score was 5.22. The lowest was -1.44. And the median was 4.07.


Tredegar Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tredegar's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tredegar Altman Z2-Score Chart

Tredegar Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.97 2.11 4.08 3.98 -1.44

Tredegar Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.98 4.10 3.35 2.04 -1.44

Competitive Comparison of Tredegar's Altman Z2-Score

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Tredegar's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tredegar's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Tredegar's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tredegar's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Tredegar Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Tredegar's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.1622+3.26*0.3986+6.72*-0.3324+1.05*0.5352
=-1.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $446.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $176.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $249.1 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $178.0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -73.409 + -63.687 + -22.253 + -0.678 = $-160.0 Mil.
Interest Expense was -3.816 + -3.106 + -2.374 + -2.311 = $-11.6 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $290.8 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(176.677 - 249.104)/446.461
=-0.1622

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=177.977/446.461
=0.3986

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-160.027 - -11.607)/446.461
=-0.3324

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(155.653 - 0)/290.808
=0.5352

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Tredegar has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.44 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Tredegar  (NYSE:TG) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Tredegar Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tredegar's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Tredegar (Tredegar) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1100 Boulders Parkway, Richmond, VA, USA, 23225
Tredegar Corp through its subsidiaries engaged in the manufacture of Polyethylene Plastic films, Polyester Films, and Aluminum Extrusions. Polyethylene Plastic films manufacture plastic films, elastics and laminate materials which are utilized in personal care materials, surface protection films, and specialty and optical lighting applications. It operates through PE Films, Flexible Packaging Films, and Aluminum Extrusions segments. Aluminum Extrusions produce high-quality, soft-alloy and medium-strength aluminum use for building and construction, automotive, consumer durables, machinery and equipment, electrical and distribution markets. It generates revenue from the United States, Asia, and Brazil.
Executives
James T. Gottwald 10 percent owner 3600 RIVER ROAD WEST, GOOCHLAND VA 23063
Kevin Cyril Donnelly officer: Vice President and Secretary 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23225
Anne G Waleski director 1508 WEST AVENUE, RICHMOND VA 23220
Michael Jay Schewel officer: Vice President and Secretary C/O MARKEL CORPORATION, 4521 HIGHWOODS PARKWAY, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060
Brickhouse Frasier W Ii other: Controller 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23225
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
John M Steitz director ALBEMARLE CORP, 451 FLORIDA ST, BATON ROUGE LA 70801
William M Gottwald director ALBERMARLE CORP, PO BOX 2189, RICHMOND VA 23218
Associated Capital Group, Inc. 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
A Brent King officer: Vice President and Secretary 4951 LAKE BROOK DR, STE 500, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060
Mary Jane Hellyar officer: Vice President 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23225
Ggcp, Inc. 10 percent owner 189 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Mario J Gabelli 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Gottwald Floyd D Jr director 330 SOUTH FOURTH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
John D Gottwald director 207 WOOD ROAD, TREDEGAR CORP, 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY VA 23225

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