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Frontier Group Holdings (Frontier Group Holdings) Altman Z2-Score : -0.93 (As of Jun. 04, 2024)


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What is Frontier Group Holdings Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Frontier Group Holdings has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.93, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ULCC' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.32   Med: -0.61   Max: 2.56
Current: -0.93

During the past 9 years, Frontier Group Holdings's highest Altman Z2-Score was 2.56. The lowest was -1.32. And the median was -0.61.


Frontier Group Holdings Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Frontier Group Holdings Altman Z2-Score Chart

Frontier Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.05 -0.99 -0.36 -0.61 -0.80

Frontier Group Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar17 Dec18 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.55 -0.36 -0.67 -0.80 -0.93

Competitive Comparison of Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Frontier Group Holdings Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.1717+3.26*0.0163+6.72*0.005+1.05*0.1025
=-0.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $5,206 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $903 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,797 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $85 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -24 + 6 + -45 + 88 = $25 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 1 + -1 + -1 = $-1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $4,722 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(903 - 1797)/5206
=-0.1717

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=85/5206
=0.0163

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(25 - -1)/5206
=0.005

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Frontier Group Holdings has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.93 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Frontier Group Holdings  (NAS:ULCC) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Frontier Group Holdings Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Frontier Group Holdings (Frontier Group Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4545 Airport Way, Denver, CO, USA, 80239
Frontier Group Holdings Inc is an ultra low-cost carrier whose business is focused on Low Fares Done Right. The company owns fleet of 120 Airbus single-aisle aircraft, consisting of 13 A320ceos, 82 A320neos, 21 A321ceos and 4 A321neos. The use of these aircraft, its seating configuration, weight-saving tactics and baggage process have all contributed to ability to continue to be the fuel-efficient of all the U.S. The Company is managed as a single business unit that provides air transportation for passengers.
Executives
James G. Dempsey officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Howard Diamond officer: SVP, GC & Secretary C/O FRONTIER AIRLINES, 7001 TOWER ROAD, DENVER CO 80249
Rajat Khanna officer: See Remarks C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80239
Barry Biffle director, officer: See Remarks C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 30325
Jacob F. Filene officer: See Remarks C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Daniel M. Shurz officer: See Remarks C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Josh A Wetzel officer: VP & CAO C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80239
Ofelia Kumpf director C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Mark Christopher Mitchell officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Robert J. Genise director C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Indigo Frontier Holdings Company, Llc 10 percent owner C/O INDIGO PARTNERS, 2525 EAST CAMELBACK ROAD, SUITE 900, PHOENIX AZ 85016
Josh T. Connor director C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Patricia Salas Pineda director C/O LEVI STRAUSS & CO., 1155 BATTERY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
William A Franke director, 10 percent owner
Trevor J. Stedke officer: See Remarks C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238

Frontier Group Holdings (Frontier Group Holdings) Headlines