GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » Asciano Ltd (OTCPK:AANOF) » Definitions » Altman Z-Score

Asciano (Asciano) Altman Z-Score : 1.31 (As of May. 05, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2007. Start your Free Trial

What is Asciano Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Asciano has a Altman Z-Score of 1.31, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Asciano's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Asciano Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Asciano's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Asciano Altman Z-Score Chart

Asciano Annual Data
Trend Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - 1.43 1.40 1.37 1.26

Asciano Semi-Annual Data
Dec07 Dec08 Jun09 Dec09 Jun10 Dec10 Jun11 Dec11 Jun12 Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.40 - 1.37 - 1.26

Competitive Comparison of Asciano's Altman Z-Score

For the Railroads subindustry, Asciano's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Asciano's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Asciano's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asciano's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Asciano Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Asciano's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0157+1.4*-0.3508+3.3*0.0649+0.6*1.9256+1.0*0.409
=1.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2016:
Total Assets was $6,470 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $630 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $528 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-2,270 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was $272 Mil.
Interest Expense was $-147 Mil.
Revenue was $2,646 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $6,642 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $3,450 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(630.2 - 528.497)/6469.652
=0.0157

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2269.726/6469.652
=-0.3508

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(272.243 - -147.446)/6469.652
=0.0649

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=6642.380/3449.519
=1.9256

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2646.41/6469.652
=0.409

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Asciano has a Altman Z-Score of 1.31 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Asciano  (OTCPK:AANOF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Asciano Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Asciano's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Asciano (Asciano) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Asciano Ltd is incorporated in Australia. The Company is engaged in development, operation and maintenance of toll roads. It operates in various divisions namely Pacific National Coal, Pacific National Rail, Terminals & Logistics, and Bulk & Automotive Port Services. The Pacific National Coal provides thermal coal haulage for use in power generation; and coking coal haulage for steelmaking. The Pacific National Rail segment offers intermodal rail and bulk haulage rail services, such as interstate rail freight services to the retail, manufacturing, mining, grain, construction materials, and steel making sectors. The Terminals & Logistics segment provides container services, which include lifting containers on and off ships, as well as facilitating the movement of containers on and off road and or rail. The Bulk & Automotive Port Services segment provides automotive stevedoring, vehicle processing, transport and storage, bulk and general stevedoring, port related, and infrastructure management services for bulk and general cargo. The Company is subject to environmental regulations under Australian Commonwealth and State laws and certain applicable laws in the USA.

Asciano (Asciano) Headlines

No Headlines