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Red River Resources (ASX:RVR) Altman Z-Score : 1.74 (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is Red River Resources Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Red River Resources has a Altman Z-Score of 1.74, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Red River Resources's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Red River Resources Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Red River Resources's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Red River Resources Altman Z-Score Chart

Red River Resources Annual Data
Trend Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.32 3.38 0.50 2.29 2.38

Red River Resources Semi-Annual Data
Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.50 - 2.29 - 2.38

Competitive Comparison of Red River Resources's Altman Z-Score

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Red River Resources's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Red River Resources's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Red River Resources's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Red River Resources's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Red River Resources Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Red River Resources's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0008+1.4*-0.0939+3.3*0.0648+0.6*0.9432+1.0*1.0933
=1.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2022:
Total Assets was A$104.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$22.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$22.3 Mil.
Retained Earnings was A$-9.8 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was A$5.4 Mil.
Interest Expense was A$-1.3 Mil.
Revenue was A$113.9 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was A$37.8 Mil.
Total Liabilities was A$40.1 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(22.231 - 22.31)/104.204
=-0.0008

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-9.787/104.204
=-0.0939

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(5.416 - -1.338)/104.204
=0.0648

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=37.848/40.127
=0.9432

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=113.927/104.204
=1.0933

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Red River Resources has a Altman Z-Score of 1.74 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Red River Resources  (ASX:RVR) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Red River Resources Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Red River Resources (ASX:RVR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
18144 Flinders Highway, Thalanga Mine, Charters Towers, QLD, AUS, 4820
Red River Resources Ltd is seeking to build a multi-asset operating business focused on base and precious metals with the objective of delivering prosperity through lean and clever resource development. Its foundation asset is the Thalanga Base Metal Operation in Northern Queensland, where the company commenced copper, lead and zinc concentrate production in September 2017. It has acquired the high-grade Hillgrove Gold Project in New South Wales, which will enable the company to build a multi-asset operating business focused on base and precious metals. The company operates only in the industry of exploration for and development of minerals in Australia.

Red River Resources (ASX:RVR) Headlines