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SRE Group (HKSE:01207) Altman Z-Score : -0.29 (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is SRE Group Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -0.29 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

SRE Group has a Altman Z-Score of -0.29, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for SRE Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01207' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.34   Med: 0.24   Max: 0.81
Current: -0.29

During the past 13 years, SRE Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 0.81. The lowest was -0.34. And the median was 0.24.


SRE Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for SRE Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SRE Group Altman Z-Score Chart

SRE Group Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.31 -0.34 -0.32 -0.03 -0.28

SRE Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -0.03 - -0.28 -

Competitive Comparison of SRE Group's Altman Z-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, SRE Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SRE Group's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, SRE Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SRE Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



SRE Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

SRE Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.054+1.4*-0.2143+3.3*-0.0272+0.6*0.0248+1.0*0.0198
=-0.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2022:
Total Assets was HK$15,556.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$6,052.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$5,212.3 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$-3,333.8 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$-568.3 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-145.8 Mil.
Revenue was HK$308.1 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$267.3 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$10,781.5 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6052.309 - 5212.277)/15556.515
=0.054

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-3333.784/15556.515
=-0.2143

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-568.312 - -145.806)/15556.515
=-0.0272

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=267.341/10781.528
=0.0248

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=308.119/15556.515
=0.0198

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

SRE Group has a Altman Z-Score of -0.29 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


SRE Group  (HKSE:01207) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


SRE Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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SRE Group (HKSE:01207) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 8 Fuyou Road, 5th Floor, People’s Insurance Mansion, Huangpu District, Shanghai, CHN
SRE Group Ltd is an integrated real estate developer focuses on high-quality development projects and urban renewal projects in the core areas of Shanghai, China. In addition, it also seeks to explore opportunities in urban development and renewal, medical and senior properties, and cultural tourism and various technology properties. The group operates through Property Development segment which develops and sells residential and commercial properties; and the property leasing segment which leases offices and commercial properties owned by the group which is classified as investment properties. It derives the majority of its revenue from Property Development segment. Geographically, it generates maximum revenue from Mainland China.
Executives
Zuo Xin 2306 Nominee for another person
Jiaxin Investment (shanghai) Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Guo Min Sheng Tou Zi Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Min Jia Ye Tou Zi You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jiasheng (holding) Investment Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jiashun (holding) Investment Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jia Yun Investment Limited 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Sre Investment Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jiazhi Investment Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Starite International Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhi Tong Investment Limited Partnership 2101 Beneficial owner
Shi Jian 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Si Xiaodong 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jia Bo Tou Zi You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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