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E-Star Commercial Management Co (HKSE:06668) Altman Z-Score : 2.30 (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is E-Star Commercial Management Co Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.3 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

E-Star Commercial Management Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.30, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that E-Star Commercial Management Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for E-Star Commercial Management Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:06668' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.23   Med: 2.69   Max: 8.49
Current: 2.3

During the past 7 years, E-Star Commercial Management Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 8.49. The lowest was 2.23. And the median was 2.69.


E-Star Commercial Management Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for E-Star Commercial Management Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

E-Star Commercial Management Co Altman Z-Score Chart

E-Star Commercial Management Co Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - 8.49 2.69 2.23

E-Star Commercial Management Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.49 1.90 2.69 - 2.23

Competitive Comparison of E-Star Commercial Management Co's Altman Z-Score

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, E-Star Commercial Management Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


E-Star Commercial Management Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, E-Star Commercial Management Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where E-Star Commercial Management Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



E-Star Commercial Management Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

E-Star Commercial Management Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4737+1.4*0.247+3.3*0.1192+0.6*1.198+1.0*0.2732
=2.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$2,542.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,606.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$402.3 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$628.0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$261.2 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-41.9 Mil.
Revenue was HK$694.6 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$1,379.7 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$1,151.7 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1606.906 - 402.34)/2542.649
=0.4737

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=628.008/2542.649
=0.247

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(261.226 - -41.875)/2542.649
=0.1192

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1379.742/1151.723
=1.198

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=694.556/2542.649
=0.2732

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

E-Star Commercial Management Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.30 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


E-Star Commercial Management Co  (HKSE:06668) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


E-Star Commercial Management Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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E-Star Commercial Management Co (HKSE:06668) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 Yabao Road, 32nd Floor, Building A Galaxy World, Longgang District, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen, CHN, 518000
E-Star Commercial Management Co Ltd is a commercial operational service provider in China with business lines including, positioning, construction consultancy and tenant sourcing services including market positioning, business planning consultancy, design and construction consultancy and tenant sourcing services; operational management services including formulating operation strategies, conducting marketing and promotional events, tenant management services, property management services and rent collection services; property leasing services including sublease of commercial spaces; and value-added services including management of common areas in the shopping centers and management of advertising spaces, such as LED boards and interior and exterior facades of the shopping centers.
Executives
Virtue Investment Development Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Huang Chu-long
Go Star Investment Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Long Harmony Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Tmf (cayman) Ltd. 2301 Trustee
Huang De-lin Benny 2101 Beneficial owner
Central Huijin Investment Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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