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AGTech Holdings (HKSE:08279) Altman Z-Score : 1.36 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is AGTech Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.98 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

AGTech Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.36, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AGTech Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:08279' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.59   Med: 9.84   Max: 21.13
Current: 1.98

During the past 13 years, AGTech Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 21.13. The lowest was 0.59. And the median was 9.84.


AGTech Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AGTech Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AGTech Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

AGTech Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.47 10.18 10.85 0.59 -

AGTech Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.59 0.65 2.19 1.97 -

Competitive Comparison of AGTech Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Gambling subindustry, AGTech Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AGTech Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, AGTech Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AGTech Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



AGTech Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

AGTech Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2003+1.4*-0.2211+3.3*0.0073+0.6*2.0816+1.0*0.1565
=1.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$3,812.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,785.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,021.4 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$-842.8 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0.964 + 1.997 + -15.725 + 38.767 = HK$26.0 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + -1.675 = HK$-1.7 Mil.
Revenue was 148.792 + 153.225 + 124.559 + 169.873 = HK$596.4 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$2,404.5 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$1,155.1 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1785.046 - 1021.415)/3811.969
=0.2003

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-842.76/3811.969
=-0.2211

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(26.003 - -1.675)/3811.969
=0.0073

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2404.503/1155.137
=2.0816

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=596.449/3811.969
=0.1565

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

AGTech Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.36 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


AGTech Holdings  (HKSE:08279) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AGTech Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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AGTech Holdings (HKSE:08279) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Times Square, Causeway Bay, Unit 3912, 39th Floor, Tower Two, Hong Kong, HKG
AGTech Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company that operates in two segments. The lottery operation segment includes sales and leasing of lottery hardware (including the provision of related after-sale services), provision of lottery distribution and ancillary services in Mainland China; and other related services. The electronic payment & related services segment includes the provision of payment card services and ancillary services; the provision of e-wallet services; the provision of acquiring services for other payment service providers; the sale and leasing of payment terminals and equipment; and other related services in Macau & generates the majority of revenue. Its geographical segments are Hong Kong, China, and Others, of which the majority of its revenue comes from China.
Executives
Sun Ho 2101 Beneficial owner
Hangzhou Yunbo Investment Consulting Co., Ltd.
Hu Simon Xiaoming
Jiang Fang
Jing Eric Xiandong
Ma Yun
Cheung Lup Kwan Vitor 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Rainwood Resources Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Ali Fortune Investment Holding Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Alibaba Group Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Alibaba Investment Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ant Small And Micro Financial Services Group Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Api (hong Kong) Investment Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Api Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shanghai Yunju Venture Capital Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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