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Scania AB (LTS:0GUY) Altman Z-Score : 9.90 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Scania AB Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Scania AB has a Altman Z-Score of 9.90, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Scania AB's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0GUY' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.06   Med: 1.69   Max: 2.74
Current: 2.5

During the past 13 years, Scania AB's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.74. The lowest was 1.06. And the median was 1.69.


Scania AB Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Scania AB's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Scania AB Altman Z-Score Chart

Scania AB Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.95 1.82 2.31 2.74 2.50

Scania AB Quarterly Data
Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.74 2.43 2.29 2.32 2.50

Competitive Comparison of Scania AB's Altman Z-Score

For the Trucking subindustry, Scania AB's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Scania AB's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Scania AB's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Scania AB's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Scania AB Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Scania AB's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0112+1.4*0.2733+3.3*0.0667+0.6*14.2955+1.0*0.7079
=9.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2015:
Total Assets was €15,268 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,168 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €5,997 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €4,173 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 261.551 + 233.989 + 251.605 + 233.357 = €981 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + -11.928 + -17.032 + -9.408 = €-38 Mil.
Revenue was 2869.385 + 2587.829 + 2788.896 + 2562.389 = €10,808 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €159,800 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €11,178 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6167.951 - 5997.186)/15267.756
=0.0112

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=4173.248/15267.756
=0.2733

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(980.502 - -38.368)/15267.756
=0.0667

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=159800.000/11178.377
=14.2955

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=10808.499/15267.756
=0.7079

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Scania AB has a Altman Z-Score of 9.90 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Scania AB  (LTS:0GUY) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Scania AB Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Scania AB (LTS:0GUY) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Scania AB was founded in 1891. The Company is engaged in manufacturing & marketing heavy trucks, buses & engines for automotive & marine industries. It also offers spare parts, maintenance & driver training, short-term truck rentals and fleet management services & financing. The company's operations are divided into two different operating segments, the Vehicles and Services operating segment encompasses the following products: trucks, buses and engines, including the services associated with these products and the Financial Services operating segment provides financial solutions to Scania customers, such as loan financing, lease contracts and insurance solutions. The sales of the Company's products occur in all five geographic areas. Financial Services is found mainly in the European markets and to a lesser extent in the others. The Company's research and development work occurs in Sweden. Manufacturing of trucks, buses and industrial and marine engines occurs in Sweden, Argentina, Brazil, France, the Netherlands, Poland and Russia.

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