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Model N (Model N) Altman Z-Score : 2.02 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Model N Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.02 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Model N has a Altman Z-Score of 2.02, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Model N is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Model N's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MODN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.3   Med: 2.87   Max: 5.11
Current: 2.02

During the past 13 years, Model N's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.11. The lowest was 0.30. And the median was 2.87.


Model N Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Model N's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Model N Altman Z-Score Chart

Model N Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.61 3.85 2.85 2.89 1.66

Model N Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.39 1.96 2.23 1.66 1.84

Competitive Comparison of Model N's Altman Z-Score

For the Software - Application subindustry, Model N's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Model N's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Model N's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Model N's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Model N Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Model N's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.5848+1.4*-0.5797+3.3*-0.0483+0.6*2.9918+1.0*0.4926
=2.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $515.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $401.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $100.3 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-298.7 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -1.078 + 1.399 + 3.558 + -32.417 = $-28.5 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1.834 + -1.829 + 0 + 0 = $-3.7 Mil.
Revenue was 63.491 + 63.969 + 63.736 + 62.604 = $253.8 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,169.3 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $390.8 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(401.544 - 100.278)/515.174
=0.5848

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-298.658/515.174
=-0.5797

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-28.538 - -3.663)/515.174
=-0.0483

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1169.286/390.831
=2.9918

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=253.8/515.174
=0.4926

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Model N has a Altman Z-Score of 2.02 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Model N  (NYSE:MODN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Model N Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Model N (Model N) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
777 Mariners Island Boulevard, Suite 300, San Mateo, CA, USA, 94404
Model N Inc is a provider of cloud revenue management solutions for life science and technology companies. The products of the company involve Revenue Cloud for Life Sciences for helps life science companies improve revenue and operational efficiency while adhering to government regulations as it creates and executes contracts with its customers; and Revenue Cloud for High Tech that enables customers to modernize their sales processes by adopting a strategic approach to manage the revenue lifecycle by planned revenue. It has one operating segment with one business activity - developing and monetizing revenue management solutions. A majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the United States, but it has a presence in countries across the world.
Executives
Mark, Albert Anderson, officer: SVP, Global Services C/O MODEL N, INC.,1600 SEAPORT BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, PACIFIC SHORES CENTER - BLD.6, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Manisha Shetty Gulati director C/O MODEL N, INC., 777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD, SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Kimberly Decarlis director 3400 BRIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 200, REDWOOD SHORES CA 94065
Rehmann Rayani officer: Chief Strategy & Mktg Officer C/O MODEL N, INC., 777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD, SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Christopher Lyon officer: SVP & Chief Revenue Officer C/O MODEL N, INC., 777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD, SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Laura Selig officer: SVP, Chief People Officer C/O MODEL N, INC., 777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD, SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Jason Blessing director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O MODEL N, INC., 777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD., SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Suresh Kannan officer: SVP & Chief Product Officer C/O MODEL N, INC., 777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD, SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
John Ederer officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O MODEL N, INC., 777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD., SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Dave Yarnold director C/O MODEL N, INC., 777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD, SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Timothy M Adams director 311 ARSENAL STREET, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Alan S. Henricks director MODEL N, INC., 777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD., SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Dave Michaud officer: SVP & Chief Marketing Officer C/O MODEL N, INC., 777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD, SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Cathy A Lewis officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O MODEL N, INC., 777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD, SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
David Barter officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O MODEL N, INC., 1600 SEAPORT BLVD., SUITE 400, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063