The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Bona Film Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.20, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Bona Film Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
Bona Film Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for Bona Film Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of Bona Film Group's Altman Z-Score
For the Broadcasting subindustry, Bona Film Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Bona Film Group's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry
For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Bona Film Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Bona Film Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Bona Film Group Altman Z-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Bona Film Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
-0.1597
+
1.4
*
0.0172
+
3.3
*
0.0147
+
0.6
*
1.5257
+
1.0
*
0.4025
=
1.20
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones
Bona Film Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.20 indicating it is in Distress Zones.
Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.
Bona Film Group (NAS:BONA) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Bona Film Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms
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Bona Film Group (Bona Film Group) Business Description
Bona Film Group Ltd is incorporated in the Cayman Islands on July 8, 2010. On December 14, 2010, it completed its initial public offering. The Company operates as a film distributor in China. It distributes films through virtually all of the theater circuits in China. It has distribution rights to a selection of films through joint distribution arrangements with industry participants such as the state-owned China Film Group Corporation. It has distributed 39 Chinese films (including Hong Kong films) internationally. In addition to film distribution and film and television production operations, it owns and operates 21 movie theaters in commercial districts and residential areas in several major cities in China. The Company's film distribution activities consist of film sourcing, which includes identifying quality film projects with commercial potential and securing film distribution rights; print and marketing, which includes coordinating the distribution of film prints to theater circuits, as well as conducting marketing and publicity campaigns to promote the films to their target audiences; exhibition, which includes negotiating the terms of exhibitions of films in domestic and international movie theaters as well as through non-theatrical distribution channels and film advertising, which includes the sale of approximately three minutes advertising time immediately prior to the start of the theatrical screening of a film, in-film product placements and cross-promotion campaigns. The Company faces competition for audiences from companies within the entertainment business and from alternative forms of leisure entertainment, such as sporting events, outdoor recreation, video games, the Internet and other cultural and computer-related activities. Its competitors in film distribution and production include state-owned enterprises such as China Film Group and non state-owned companies such as Huayi Brothers. Its trademark includes "Bona". Its talent agency business is subject to various PRC laws, rules and regulations.
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