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BioVie (BioVie) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $0.49 (As of Mar24)


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What is BioVie Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, BioVie's earnings power value is $0.49. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


BioVie Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for BioVie's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BioVie Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

BioVie Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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BioVie Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
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Competitive Comparison of BioVie's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, BioVie's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BioVie's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, BioVie's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BioVie's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



BioVie Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

BioVie's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.00
DDA 0.23
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 1.70
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents 30.35
Short-Term Debt 8.05
Long-Term Debt 0.37
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 44.80

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.00 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.70,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.00 * 0.00% +1.70 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.23 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
BioVie's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.00 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. BioVie's current cash and cash equivalent = $30.35 Mil.
BioVie's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.37 + 8.05 = $8.416 Mil.
BioVie's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 44.80 Mil.

BioVie's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 0.00)/ 9%+30.35-8.416 )/44.80
=0.49

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 0.48958728599808-0.4711 )/0.48958728599808
= 3.78%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


BioVie  (NAS:BIVI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


BioVie Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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BioVie (BioVie) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
680 W Nye Lane, Suite 204, Carson, NV, USA, 89703
BioVie Inc is a clinical-stage company developing innovative drug therapies to treat chronic debilitating conditions including liver disease and neurological and neuro-degenerative disorders and certain cancers. The Company is conducting a potentially pivotal Phase 3 randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, multicenter study to evaluate NE3107 in patients who have mild to moderate Alzheimer's disease. BIV201 has the potential to improve the health of thousands of patients suffering from life-threatening complications of liver cirrhosis due to hepatitis, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis and alcoholism.
Executives
Steve Gorlin director 150 GULF SHORE DRIVE, UNIT 601, DESTIN FL 32541
Cuong V Do director C/O BIOVIE, 2120 COLORADO AVENUE, SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Richard J Berman director 305 COLLEGE ROAD EAST, PRINCETON NJ 08540
James Paul Lang director C/O BIOVIE, 2120 COLORADO AVENUE, SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Michael Edward Sherman director C/O BIOVIE, 2120 COLORADO AVENUE, SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Robert J Hariri director 341 MENDHAM ROAD, BERNARDSVILLE NJ 07924
Joanne Wendy Kim officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BIOVIE, INC, 2120 COLORADO AVENUE, SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Joseph M Palumbo other: Chief Medical Officer 616 BROOKSIDE AVENUE, SAINT DAVIDS PA 19087
Jonathan M Adams officer: EVP Liver Cirrhosis Programs 100 CUMMINGS CENTER 247C, BEVERLY MA 01915
Penelope Markham officer: EVP Liver Cirrhosis R&D C/O BIOVIE, INC, 2120 COLORADO AVENUE, SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Christopher Reading officer: EVP Neuroscience R&D C/O HOLLIS-EDEN PHARMACEUTICALS, 4435 EASTGATE MALL STE.400, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Clarence N. Ahlem officer: EVP of Product Development 5305 RENAISSANCE AVE., SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Mina Sooch director 17199 N. LAUREL PARK DRIVE, SUITE 401, LIVONIA MI 48152
Sigmund Rogich director C/O BIOVIE, 2120 COLORADO AVENUE, SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Patrick D Yeramian officer: Chief Medical Officer 1815 PARKSIDE CIRCLE SOUTH, BOCA RATON FL 33486

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