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Zengame Technology Holding (HKSE:02660) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$7.72 (As of Dec23)


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What is Zengame Technology Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Zengame Technology Holding's earnings power value is HK$7.72. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 53.62

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Zengame Technology Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Zengame Technology Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Zengame Technology Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Zengame Technology Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - 2.38 4.07 5.62 7.72

Zengame Technology Holding Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.07 - 5.62 - 7.72

Competitive Comparison of Zengame Technology Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia subindustry, Zengame Technology Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zengame Technology Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Zengame Technology Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zengame Technology Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Zengame Technology Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Zengame Technology Holding's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 1,530
DDA 10
Operating Margin % 35.31
SGA * 25% 59
Tax Rate % 12.26
Maintenance Capex 6
Cash and Cash Equivalents 2,103
Short-Term Debt 4
Long-Term Debt 2
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1,020

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 35.31%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$1,530 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 35.31%, Average Adjusted SGA = 59,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,530 * 35.31% +59 = HK$598.85305824 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 12.26%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$598.85305824 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 598.85305824 * ( 1 - 12.26% ) = HK$525.40971917745 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 10 * 0.5 * 12.26% = HK$0.606491592 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 525.40971917745 + 0.606491592 = HK$526.01621076945 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Zengame Technology Holding's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$6 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Zengame Technology Holding's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$2,103 Mil.
Zengame Technology Holding's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 2 + 4 = HK$5.575 Mil.
Zengame Technology Holding's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1,020 Mil.

Zengame Technology Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 526.01621076945 - 6)/ 9%+2,103-5.575 )/1,020
=7.72

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 7.7196376811581-3.58 )/7.7196376811581
= 53.62%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Zengame Technology Holding  (HKSE:02660) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Zengame Technology Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Zengame Technology Holding (HKSE:02660) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Keji South 12 Road, Rooms 1304-06, Changhong Science and Technology Mansion, Science and Technology Park, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, CHN, 518057
Zengame Technology Holding Ltd is a mobile game developer. The company operates self-developed and third-party-developed games. The company's games include card games, board games, other casual games, and hardcore games, including Fight the Landlord, Sichuan Mahjong, Hunan Run Fast, Tiantian Love Chinese Chess, Happy Mengmengxiao and Kuaishou Fishing. It is also engaged in the investment business.
Executives
Yang Min 2501 Other
Ye Sheng 2501 Other
Zeng Liqing 2202 Interest of your spouse
Zhang Wei 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Infiniti Trust (hong Kong) Limited 2301 Trustee
Bonaza Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
D Fun Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
The Core Trust Company Limited 2301 Trustee
Tct (bvi) Limited 2501 Other
Xie Yingying 2202 Interest of your spouse
Bao Trust 2301 Trustee
Bao Zhoujia 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Y&j Family Limited 2306 Nominee for another person
J&l Y Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Ys Limited 2306 Nominee for another person

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