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Dorchester Minerals LP (Dorchester Minerals LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Dorchester Minerals LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Dorchester Minerals LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Dorchester Minerals LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Dorchester Minerals LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dorchester Minerals LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Dorchester Minerals LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dorchester Minerals LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Dorchester Minerals LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.98

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Dorchester Minerals LP  (NAS:DMLP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Dorchester Minerals LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Dorchester Minerals LP (Dorchester Minerals LP) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Dorchester Minerals LP (NAS:DMLP) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3838 Oak Lawn Avenue, Suite 300, Dallas, TX, USA, 75219
Dorchester Minerals LP operates as the owner of producing and non-producing crude oil and natural gas mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, net profits, and leasehold interests. The company generates revenues from royalties, net profits interests, lease bonus, and others. It has leasehold interests in approximately 592 counties and parishes in around 28 states.
Executives
Dorchester Minerals Operating Lp other: Entity Under Common Control 3838 OAK LAWN AVE, STE 300, DALLAS TX 75219
Bradley J Ehrman officer: Chief Operating Officer 3838 OAK LAWN AVE, STE 300, DALLAS TX 75219
Leslie A Moriyama officer: Chief Financial Officer 3838 OAK LAWN AVE, STE 300, DALLAS TX 75219
William Casey Mcmanemin director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O DORCHESTER MINERALS, L.P., 3838 OAK LAWN, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75219
Martha Rochelle director 3838 OAK LAWN AVENUE, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75219
Allen H C Jr director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 3838 OAK LAWN, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75219
Robert C Vaughn director 3838 OAK LAWN AVENUE, SUITE 710, DALLAS TX 75219
Allen D Lassiter director 25 HIGHLAND PARK VILLAGE, STE 100-780, DALLAS TX 75205
James E Raley director, officer: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER 9666 ATHERTON DRIVE, DALLAS TX 75243
Buford P Berry director 1700 PACIFIC, SUITE 3300, DALLAS TX 75201
Charles William Russell director 4695 N FM 2869, WINNSBORO TX 75494
Preston A Peak director 3838 OAK LAWN AVENUE, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75219
Ronald Paul Trout director 1241 MOHAWK TRAIL, RICHARDSON, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Lucent Technologies Inc. Master Pension Trust 10 percent owner 600 MOUNTAIN AVENUE, ROOM 7D-523, MURRAY HILL NJ 07974
Wolf Partners Red 10 percent owner 3738 OAK LAWN AVE STE 300, DALLAS TX 75201

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