eFuture Holding (eFuture Holding) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Apr. 30, 2024)

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What is eFuture Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, eFuture Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of eFuture Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, eFuture Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

eFuture Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, eFuture Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where eFuture Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

eFuture Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

eFuture Holding (NAS:EFUT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

eFuture Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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eFuture Holding (eFuture Holding) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » eFuture Holding Inc (NAS:EFUT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

http://www.e-future.com.cn

E-Future Information Technology, Inc., established under the Cayman Islands Companies Law on November 2, 2000. The Company changed its name from 'e-Future Information Technology Inc.' to 'eFuture Information Technology Inc.' in December 2008. It provides software and services to China's retail and consumer goods industries. It offers one-stop, end-to-end integrated portfolio of software and services from factory to consumer on seven verticals: Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG), Department Store, Shopping Mall, Grocery, Logistics, Specialty Store and Online Retailers. Its clients include manufacturers, distributors, resellers, logistics companies and retailers. The Company's client base encompasses corporations such as Procter & Gamble, Pepsi, L'Oreal, Kimberly-Clark, Gucci and B&Q as well as Chinese companies. The Company has three business lines: software, professional services and cloud service. Its software solutions include the management of merchandizing, distribution, warehousing, supply chains, customer relationships, logistics and points of sale. It consists of three deployable groups of products: Foundation Solutions, Collaborative Solutions and Intelligent Solutions. Foundation Solutions - are used to meet client needs for services such as retail management, point of sale ('POS'), distribution management, logistics management, warehouse management, vendor payment and control and loyalty card management. Collaborative Solutions - are used to meet client needs for services such as visual SCM and visual process management systems. Depending on the type of customer and their needs, clients use a variety of Collaborative Solutions. Intelligent Solutions - are used to meet client needs for services such as business intelligence, brand analysis, supplier relationship management and customer relationship management systems. Professional Services includes recurring maintenance and support services on existing software installations, delivery services, consulting services and outsourcing services. Maintenance and Support Service - is provided following the installation of its software solutions, as clients will typically require ongoing maintenance support and software upgrades to ensure the efficient operation of their system. Consulting Service - is provided by its consulting services group which consists of business consultants, systems analysts and technical personnel. Outsourcing Service - is flexible by design to meet its clients' changing requirements. Cloud Service consists of cloud services based on cloud computing architecture, such as Salesforce Automation. Its regional service centers in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Wuhan, Qingdao, Xi'an, Fuzhou, Hangzhou, Nanjing, Chongqing and Shenzhen.